Laurentian BankLB.TOCOMMENTJan 17, 2018Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 04, 2026. Market Open.
LB traded sideways for the past year, with a nice level of support around $24, and after its recent earnings it popped higher to $30. To help confirm an uptrend, we would like to see it rise above $32. We do not see any news regarding a potential sale, but it trades at a decent valuation of 9.5X forward earnings, and some major banks raised their price targets on the name following its recent results. Given the negative momentum and slow growth, we would prefer assessing this one from the sidelines.
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Bought in his conservative strategy when all the analysts on the street hated it. Stock has a definite bottom, and he bought near that for a swing trade. Now at, or near, the top. His target was $31 -- obtained, as that was the level of support in late 2022 and mid-2023. Today it's around $29.50, so he's on the verge of selling.
Could move a bit higher, as the banks tend to move as a group until the end of December. Might get another $1 out of it. "Bulls make money, bears make money, pigs get slaughtered." Once it hits $31, he's out.
Doesn't have a bright outlook for its future. Not a good bank. Multi-decade series of strategic blunders. Increasingly, scale matters, and this one is sub-scale. Put themselves up for sale, but why would anyone buy it when they can just eat their lunch for free and take their market share?
Different from NA takeover of CWB; both of those banks are good banks.
Trades at a deep discount to the larger banks. A regional player with almost all branches and footprint business in Québec. It’s still a regional bank, but has done a marvellous job of closing the gap in terms of its profitability, compared with the others. ROE has come up from about 6%-7% to 12%-13%, while the rest of the banks are in the 14%-17% range. The pullback in the stock was a result of some problems with mortgages. He would think the issue is behind them, and is not really material to their overall solvency or profitability. Strong balance sheet. The stock looks very interesting here.