Stockchase Opinions

Jim Cramer - Mad MoneyLithium Americas CorpLAC.TOSELLApr 25, 2022

Sell. It won't stay at these levels.
$34.50

Stock price when the opinion was issued

Mining
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DON'T BUY

One-year chart shows a big runup, pullback, and sideways consolidation. Now stock's broken out, looks positive. Likely going to retest highs ~$12. Look at the 5-year chart. Recent moves tell you that something is definitely changing. 

A single stock opens you up to stock-specific risk. For the general investor or those just dabbling in the space, it's best to play the broader theme via an ETF unless you have high conviction or a lot of information on a particular stock. LIT, for example, is an aggregate of rare-earth metal plays. 

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TOP PICK
Gross Profit stood at -10,000, marking a 16.7% change since the last quarter. Gross profit showcases the efficiency in production and sales processes.Cost of Revenue was 10,000, a -16.7% difference from the previous quarter. A rising cost of revenue may suggest increased production or sales costs, which can impact margins. However, if accompanied by a proportionate rise in revenue, it could indicate scaling operations. Social media mentions are up 26.9% in the past 24h.
 Lithium Americas Corp
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TOP PICK

Gross Profit stood at -10,000, marking a 16.7% change since the last quarter. Gross profit showcases the efficiency in production and sales processes.Cost of Revenue was 10,000, a -16.7% difference from the previous quarter. A rising cost of revenue may suggest increased production or sales costs, which can impact margins. However, if accompanied by a proportionate rise in revenue, it could indicate scaling operations. Social media mentions are up 26.9% in the past 24h.

DON'T BUY

Not bullish on Lithium, but company is well run. Expecting prices of Lithium to fall. Too much interest at these levels. Waiting for weakness. 

WEAK BUY
LAC vs. LAAC

He'd probably take the North American play. Lithium market is on the verge of becoming over-, not under-, supplied. Argentinian assets are higher quality, buy still thinks NA assets will gain more favour.

SELL

There's lithium everywhere. It's going to be an opportunity for EVs. But if you look at the price of a giant like ALB, the shares have come down, and that's just gravity taking hold of high valuations. If you need to sell, sell. Restructuring restricted share trading earlier this week.

WATCH

Small commodity, growing a lot. Under pressure, because lithium is under pressure with new mines coming on. It will come down to economic execution. Good assets. Be cautious in short term, as momentum is against it. Sub-$15 is a good level.

WEAK BUY

Lithium is becoming more relevant with EVs, it will just take some time. Takes a lot of capital up front, to mine, and to sell. Demand/supply cycles are not always clear cut. 

PARTIAL BUY

In the next 10-20 years we won't have enough copper or lithium as we electrify the world. The market for lithium has changed in the past 5 years. This is a long-term investment, but will see bumps along the way. Buy a little and monitor it.

BUY

There's intense interest in lithium as the market seeks a reliable supply of it to help build EVs. LAC is a mid-cap, so it has some stability. Shares have been bouncing with a decent base at $25. Is set up for a near-term rally. Have a decent balance sheet.

DON'T BUY

The challenge with lithium is where it's located and who contols that. Namely, Chile just announced it will nationalized lithium (in the next few years). Yes, you want to be part of the EV play, but base metals aren't the way to do it. Albemarle, for instance, is too volatile.

DON'T BUY
It's a "story" stock. Has no real fundamentals. He models $4.42, so this is 89% overvalued. If this breaks below $32, it will slide and he would sell. He doesn't believe the hype or Elon Musk about lithium.
DON'T BUY
Speculative buy, $46 target. He's more interested in rarer metals. Not that interested in battery metals or battery production. Not too impressed with the sector.
DON'T BUY
Hot sector. Struggled recently with its acquisition and share offering. Pulled back. Investors are not happy. Acquisition is actually losing money. Be cautious. Longer term, sector is fantastic place to be.