Stockchase Opinions

Michael Bowman Loblaw Companies Ltd L-T PAST TOP PICK Aug 27, 2015

(A Top Pick March 5/14. Up 60.55%.) He likes the story for all Canadian grocery stores. This used to be a grocery store, but is now basically a holding company. Only 36% of sales is attributed to groceries. 37% of all sales now are from people who have their loyalty card.

$71.350

Stock price when the opinion was issued

food stores
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HOLD

Owns Shoppers, and that's one of the reasons he likes it so much. The business is being transformed all over NA, because after Covid they found it was so much cheaper to send you to get a vaccine at a pharmacy than to go to a hospital.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Over the last decade, has evolved magnificently into a very different business. Vertically integrated. Purchase of Shoppers has been massive platform for growth. Grocery, pharmacy, and now moving into healthcare. Rich, wait for a pullback. If you own it, hold, don't sell.

HOLD

Continues to execute on market share and growth. More challenging recently, might be due to market rotation over to small caps. Longer-term great hold, just hold on. If you're a short-term trader, consider taking gains and rolling into something else.

HOLD

Great year. Shopper's has been really strong, and selling/prescribing GLP-1 drugs hasn't hurt either. Likes it, though it's run up a bunch.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

For consumer staples, he likes to stay close to home. Very few competitors. Stock's done very well for him.

HOLD

Loves the grocery sector, an oligopoly. Better growth prospects, better margins, but higher valuation in the space.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Nov 23/23, Up 61%)

Wait for a pullback, given current highs. As Canada's economy softens, more shoppers spend at their discount banners. Shoppers are doing very well in beauty goods as they get out of the low-margin electronics; many provinces are allowing pharmacists to expand their role, which is another tailwind for Shoppers Drug Mart (that Loblaw owns). They are expanding their margins and guiding higher.

SELL

Unfortunately, tariffs mean consumers will pay more. Eventually it will cost people their jobs. Phenomenal awakening of raising prices and capturing margins. Valuation of 20x would make him sell, deploy profits elsewhere. See his Top Picks.

HOLD

The ultimate winner in inflation. Tough business, low margins, competitive. He owns COST. Loblaw is well run, as are MRU and EMP.A

BUY

Thought of using it today as a Top Pick. Just keeps chugging along. His choice in the space, along with DOL.