JP Morgan Chase & CoJPMBUYJul 11, 2022Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Oct 20, 2026. Market Open.
They just reported a clear top and bottom line miss, though net interest income beat. The non-interest income and asset management missed. Expenses rose faster than revenue. Shares fell at first, but recovered when management offered a a positive forecast. Overall, results were mixed but the outlook makes this a winner.
It's all about the scale, and JPM's scale is tremendous. Largest US bank, and in over 100 countries. Built for almost any type of economic environment. Multiple revenue engines. Announced $50B share buyback. Strong performance due to increasing confidence about the economy.
Chart shows 200-day MA trending higher, and series of higher highs and higher lows. Yield is 1.71%.
There is also a Canadian CDR (hedged) version but he prefers the actual stock in US dollars. He doesn't like the hedged versions of stocks which neutralize the foreign exchange component and prefers the benefit of owning companies in US dollars. He owns this and other US financials. Canadian banks have done very well.
They report Thursday. Usually, shares get crushed after the report, but what if there's nowhere to go except up because they have fallen so far? It makes no sense that their net interest margins are so high, yet shares are so low. Before when net interest margins were much lower, shares were much higher. No sense. He likes the banks before their quarter. The St. Louis Fed says that loans were still strong this quarter. Banks, which have been frigid, could be hot now and they usually work well at this point of the cycle. MS pays a good dividend.