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Ivanhoe Mines LtdIVN.TODON'T BUYMar 02, 2017Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 15, 2026. Market Open.
He's a very large shareholder going back many years, and the stock's treated him very well. You need to be able to take some political and operational risk. Seismic event and subsequent flooding in its primary asset. Flooding has been handled, but it'll be 6 months before the seismic event is understood.
Meanwhile, record copper production worth millions. Operates highest-grade big zinc mine in the world. Recently turned on a palladium/platinum/nickel mine in South Africa. A major in the making. He's a real fan of the founder and Executive Chair.
Unfortunate flooding and suspension of one of its premier mines in DRC. Still trying to assess infrastructure damage. Guesses it won't be back until late 2026. Inflection in FCF could be pushed beyond then. Investment and vote of confidence from Qatar Investment Authority.
In limbo. Highlights scarcity of world-class mines, seeing M&A, could be a takeout.
Stock fell precipitously because of underground stability issues in Congo mine; operation is temporarily suspended as they fix it. Suspects this issue might last 6-8 months; part of the answer involves less aggressive underground mining. Longer term, that complex is nowhere near maturity in terms of copper production. Bringing on world's largest platinum and palladium mine, plus world's highest-grade zinc mine.
The only reason not to own is if you're afraid of the not-insignificant political risk in both South Africa and Congo. Sometimes if the technical aspects of a project are truly superior, you need to stomach the political risk. He's a very big investor, so there's a lot of bias in his answer ;)
Management has proven ability to operate in difficult environments. DRC min is 4th largest copper mine in the world, so recent seismic event is unfortunate. Significant potential, but he wishes it were in another jurisdiction.
There's no such thing as an easy path when talking about emerging areas. He avoids those risks.
Depends on if you're a speculator or investor. Electric has changed mining by using their Typhoon geophysical technology to apply to deposits around the world, so this is a spec buy. That technology could be game-changing. The Mines is far more senior with existing operations in Congo and South Africa, so it's an investment.
Some of these material stocks, miners in particular, have been turning lower. This traded up to $5, and then down to a low of $3.76 recently. Broke its 20-day moving average, and is now approaching its 50-day moving average. 50-day is still pointing higher, so you could see support, but given the volatility it makes him nervous. You want to be out of the mines right now.