Imperial Oil (IMO.TO)

Oil & gas sector has been consolidating. This name is breaking out to new highs, and that's a great tell. 25 years of reserve life. Three separate issuer bids, with another right now. Very high quality. If the commodity cycle goes on, energy will likely participate. These stocks should normally be weak this time of year, but they're making new highs instead; tells you there's lots of upside. His call is for longer-term higher oil prices.

Great company to protect your purchasing power. 30 years of consecutive dividend increases. Yield is 2.55%, with compound annual growth rate of 22% over last 5 years.

Basic premise is that Canadian oil companies have unbelievable assets. Well north of 20% dividend growth. Great cashflow and shareholder returns. Oil's just broken a triple top on a point-and-figure chart, and these companies look as though they're about to reaccelerate. 

He'd buy this one, and he'd buy CNQ.

(Note the short timeframe.)  This is a swing trade. Looking at the chart, you can see how the stock likes to go down to $90-ish, and then go up to $100-ish. That's 10% that you can trade and trade. He always buys on the bounce.

He feels that all oil will break out eventually. He's hoping to get $100 on this, though it's pulled back a bit. If it gets there, he'll probably sell and then get back in if it returns to the bottom. If it doesn't, his buy price was close to the bottom so he isn't losing anything.

This trades at a massive premium, which he doesn't understand. IMO is not attractive in terms of price-cash flow, dividend or free cash-flow yield. Look at Athabasca instead (see his comments).

Performed very well. Aggressively buying back stock. Trades at a deserved premium. But today he'd prefer CNQ. Good tax-loss candidate. Very strong balance sheet. FCF today is not what it was.

Bought this around $92 with proceeds from CNQ. Attracted to the chart. A swing chart, easy to trade. Hopes it'll go to at least $105 or so, which is when he'd probably sell. Yield is 3%.

Sideways trading range. Reported earnings today. Should not be affected as much by potential US tariffs, as energy may be exempt. Boring, blue chip. He likes energy, and this is a way to play. Yield is 2.9%.

Good business. Alberta oil sands are low cost, long life, low decline. Refineries. Integrated, with benefit being that it takes the raw edge off commodity price sensitivity. Owns this indirectly through the back door, with an investment in XOM (major shareholder of IMO).

Modestly bullish on oil. Not his first choice, but no quarrels with it either.

The ZEO ETF recently broke out to new highs. In the group, he likes CNQ, IMO and SU.

Oil prices weak recently, generally gets a little firmer coming into winter. Lots of Middle East conflict. US energy producers in general have performed much worse than Canadian, partly because of debate on whether shale can sustain production. 

Longer term, the sector is attractive and these companies will generate a ton of cash and strong dividend growth. Near-term technical questions. He'd love to see price of oil stabilize. It has in last couple of days, but that's geopolitically driven.

Very well run company. Trading at premium to other energy companies. Safe company with excellent inventory. However, better options out there for investors. 

Rock-solid balance sheet. Great long-life assets. Operational excellence. Cashflow-generating machine. Bought back 1/3 of company's shares in last 7-8 years; that will continue. 5-year dividend growth rate is 23% a year. Pricing power. A company that will offset inflation. Yield is 2.5%.