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Opinions Stan Wong
HBP S&P500 VIX Short Term VIX ETFHUV.TOCOMMENTOct 16, 2014
Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jan 17, 2025. Market Open.
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Ross Healy
Ross HealyIt seems not to track the VIX. It does not track the VIX, but holds the VIX futures contracts 2 months out. Every month you lose 5 to 10% due to the leverage and rolling over futures contracts. You can’t sit with these for a long period of time. Hold for a couple of days max for an event that might be asymmetrical.
He does not advocate individual investors playing the volatility index because it is a short term play. Don’t play the leveraged ones. When VIX gests above its own 50 day average and the market violates it. You can expect some follow through selling and a spike in volatility so you can add then to help with hedging.
This is a hedge, insurance against the market going down. He has a 5% position. The VIX is at the bottom of a very long term trading range. The markets are too settled in and too happy. If the market starts to sell off, the VIX will spike aggressively. In a worst case scenario it has a 2 to 1 reward to risk ratio.
Keith Richards
The VIX is a very difficult measure to predict. It is extremely volatile. The VIX historically in Sept/Oct tends to move up about 15% over those 2 months. Going into Nov/Dec, the VIX tends to fall by about that same amount. He would probably tend to Short this through Nov/Dec. His suspicion is that markets will calm down and this should come off a bit.