Opinions
Darren Sissons
HSBC Holdings P L C
HSBC-N
BUY
Jul 31, 2018
$48.420
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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It had the BREXIT overhang as well as the Hong Kong overhang. It has had a remarkable recovery. He thinks there is upside here. You can buy it here and just leave it for a while and it will continue to grow. It has raised its dividend for the last 15 years. They could always move their head quarters to Singapore. The political overhang is somewhat of a nonsense story because the income is coming from surrounding countries. It is providing an entry point. (Analysts’ price target is $45.82)
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TRADE
It is a great bank if you want to be in Asia. The problem like many British and European banks is that they could not decide if they wanted to be in certain markets. They bought and built up certain businesses and did not do very well at those. They are a good retail bank and a very good commercial bank. They help companies grow in Asia and the US. Hong Kong will not be an opportunity for them now. It's not an expensive stock but they need to decide what they want to be.
banks
After the global financial crisis, all banks under-earned because interest rates came down so far. As interest rates come back up, financials are starting to approach their historical earnings range. Banks in the US and Canada are leaders in this pack. European banks are a bit behind. 40% of HSBC’s business is in Europe, which has yet to see higher interest rates. 40% is in Hong Kong, which is the booking point for Asian business. Because the Hong Kong dollar is pegged to the US dollar, this part of HSBC’s business is pegged to the US interest rate cycle. Higher interest rates in the US are good for HSBC in Asia. He thinks the global banks are undervalued, and are good buys, especially for people with a multi-year horizon. This is not a good trade for 3-to-6 months but he thinks it will do well for someone willing to hold it for 3-to-5 years.