Mike S. Newton, CIM FCSI
GlaxoSmithKline PLC
GSK-N
DON'T BUY
Oct 28, 2015
Not a name he would want to own. They have more price sensitive areas of the market, so they don’t really have the ability to set prices as well as they would like. Also, has a very light R&D budget, which is something you don’t want from a pharma company. Right now they are in a joint venture with Pfizer (PFE-N) on an HIV company, and the earnings and cash flow from that are not expected for another couple of years. You might consider iShares US Healthcare ETF (IYH-N) instead.
Good business, but better opportunities out there. Attractive dividend yield. Not investing in business at this time. Hard to evaluate R&D pipeline. Would look elsewhere.
Big pharmas are all under pressure, growth is hard to come by and so they're cost-cutting. All have lots of free cashflow and reasonable dividend yields. He prefers JNJ.
Vaccine discoveries good for business. Does not own shares at this time. Market for pharmaceuticals separating between strong and weak players. Current share price fairly valued.
Buy drug stocks when there's no good news about their drug pipelines, or else you pay up when there is good news, in which case it becomes a trade, not investment.
This large global biopharma company has reported continued success in a oncology based treatment for a blood cancer effecting 180,000 new patients annually. The company is building cash reserves while debt is retired. It trades at 22x earnings and supports a 21% ROE. We recommend setting a stop-loss at $27, looking to achieve $45 -- upside potential of 26%. Yield 4.5%
We reiterate GSK as a TOP PICK. We like that cash reserves are holding steady, despite an aggressive retirement of debt. It trades at 22x earnings and supports a 18% ROE. The solid dividend is backed by a payout ratio under 50% of cash flow. The company is partnering with another pharma to develop Parkinson's disease treatments. We continue to recommend a stop at $27, looking to achieve $41 -- upside potential over 20%. Yield 4.6%
(A Top Pick Jan 16/25, Up 21.3%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly
Our PAST TOP PICK with GSK has achieved its target at $41. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering half the position at this time and maintaining the stop at $32.
Their vaccine division suffers from the general dismay over vaccines in the US (so does Merck), but accounts for only a third of its business. Ongoing trials could put them back in the race in drugs vs. peers. Expects the sentiment overhang to persist in vaccines.
Not a name he would want to own. They have more price sensitive areas of the market, so they don’t really have the ability to set prices as well as they would like. Also, has a very light R&D budget, which is something you don’t want from a pharma company. Right now they are in a joint venture with Pfizer (PFE-N) on an HIV company, and the earnings and cash flow from that are not expected for another couple of years. You might consider iShares US Healthcare ETF (IYH-N) instead.