Opinions
Mohsin Bashir
GlaxoSmithKline PLC
GSK-N
HOLD
Jul 18, 2014
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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Great dividend yield of 6.3%, trades at only 10x earnings. Cheap, you can own it here. Grew vaccine business. New CEO shed some divisions, so now more of a pure pharma company, which has risks. Have to worry about pipeline constantly. JNJ, for example, is more diversified, and that's what he prefers.
They sold their personal care business to generate a lot of capital. They're strong in vaccines, but don't have a strong pipeline of drugs. So, they need to buy other companies to make up for that. Not a high PE and pays a good dividend. The key is what they will do with their capital.
Premium contentThis large global biopharma company has reported continued success in a oncology based treatment for a blood cancer effecting 180,000 new patients annually. The company is building cash reserves while debt is retired. It trades at 22x earnings and supports a 21% ROE. We recommend setting a stop-loss at $27, looking to achieve $45 -- upside potential of 26%. Yield 4.5%
(Analysts’ price target is $45.07)Premium contentWe reiterate GSK as a TOP PICK. We like that cash reserves are holding steady, despite an aggressive retirement of debt. It trades at 22x earnings and supports a 18% ROE. The solid dividend is backed by a payout ratio under 50% of cash flow. The company is partnering with another pharma to develop Parkinson's disease treatments. We continue to recommend a stop at $27, looking to achieve $41 -- upside potential over 20%. Yield 4.6%
(Analysts’ price target is $40.89)Premium contentPremium content
Although listed in the US, this is really a European name, but diversified across about 140 different countries. Even though they may not be as diversified as its peers, they have a pretty decent focus and mixture. Focused mainly on vaccines and drug R&D, but also have some pretty well-known consumer product brands that people are familiar with. The issue is that it is a little bit more focused on the hefty dividend payment. Payout ratio is about 70% while its peers are more like 50%-60%. Because of this the multiple is lower, and trades at a discount to the others.