VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) Buy, Sell or Hold

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VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX)

75.73

+0.50 (0.66%)

as of Jul 27, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.

73 watching

Investor Insights

Jul 26, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 3 opinions in the last 12 months.

The VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) is currently experiencing a thoughtful analysis by experts. One expert indicates that the price to NAV is reasonable, suggesting a potential bullish outlook for gold prices if the USD starts to weaken. However, caution is advised as gold stocks can be unpredictable, with possible margin pressures anticipated in the upcoming quarter due to rising costs, which may already be priced in. Contrarily, another expert exhibits skepticism, labeling gold as overly speculative due to a fundamentals-driven investment strategy. A more optimistic view is shared by an investor who notes gold's favorable seasonality in July, believing that current market conditions, combined with the Federal Reserve's likely decision to maintain low rates ahead of the US Midterms, make gold an attractive investment opportunity.

Consensus

Mixed

Valuation

Fair Value

Similar

NEM

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Sep 09/19, Up 41%) This holds the big players like Newmont, without absorbing the risk of those companies. He's taken a little money off the table to buy mid-sized gold names like Alamos. He likes gold and this ETF was the purest play.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Jun 15/19, Up 10%) He was bullish on gold and still is. They got hit hard on the way down because of liquidity. Monetization of debt will cause a devaluation in currency and this is bullish for gold.

COMMENT

Will the gold miners catch up to the gold price? They should but they are equities with risk. The monetization of debt that will be necessary by central banks around the world is a bullish scenario and gold stocks will eventually come. A lot of these mines aren't working today, however. He has positions in the sector.

WATCH

There has been a lot of liquidation in risk parity funds that use gold as an asset class. We are moving into a world where governments are just going to print money. At some point it will cause some inflation and cause gold to skyrocket. He sees $1900 in gold at some point. Gold equities are one of the cheapest asset classes on the planet for the next couple of years. Gold won't be the first to recover, though.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Jul 15/19, Up 15%) He's bullish gold. There's a global debt crisis, so to get repaid these debts you have to devalue paper currencies, starting with the USD--and gold (the anti-currency) has to rise by default.

DON'T BUY

He's not a gold bull, because gold represents a decline in the value of the US dollar. This one is fine, it's just not something he's bullish on. Gold is dead money.

WEAK BUY

He's had a love/hate feeling towards gold. He's held this only for a short time, because the tailwinds for gold are turning into headwinds. Fears of a collapse in the market and US dollar have not happened, so gold has suffered. The story of the US as the best house on the block is now fraying. He is not bullish gold long-term. He just bought GDX for tactical balance, expecting weakness in the US dollar, but long-term, like 3-5 years, he isn't excited about gold. If global growth stabilizes and the US dollar weakens, gold ETFs should soar.

BUY

Gold - Holding https://www.mint.ca/store/mint/about-the-mint/exchange-traded-receipts-etr-6600002 Holding bullion is fine, but if you're really bullish gold, then hold the stocks. You'll get 2:1 upside vs. the bullion. He's market neutral, but very bullish gold long-term using call spreads using GDX. But gold could pullback to the $1,400 break-out; that's the downside risk.

COMMENT

Look at the GDX chart to read gold--the GDX is in an uptrend since mid-2018, but has been recently pulling back. The smart money is very short, but Nov-Feb is strong seasonality for gold--so, gold can go one of those two ways. He sees a gold rally that will coincide with a market pullback coming soon.

TOP PICK

You get more torque than out of the commodity itself. Gold will have good support now.

TOP PICK

If the world can figure out how to deal with $50 TRILLION of negative yielding debt, or if the global trade tensions are dealt with and the economic growth continues this may not be a great holding, so he is nervous to recommend it. This is a real store of value in a low interest rate environment. He continues to think yields will drop and economic growth will not accelerate. Yield 0.38%

WATCH

He uses GDX to play the mid to large gold sector. You want to buy dips. It will be volatile in the next few months.

TOP PICK

Rather than playing bullion directly, this ETF has a lot of the big cap stocks like Barrick, Agnico, and Franco-Nevada. Diversify the risk, and a more direct play on the commodity. He's more confident in gold going higher than any specific country or mine. Yield is 0.38%.

N/A

Educational Segment. Gold with negative interest rates. Gold with negative interest rates. Gold is an attractive asset class. GDX-N is an example. Gold peaked out at US$1900 in 2011 and there will be a lot of resistance at $1525. He thinks we have a date with gold at $1900 again. It's at a 35 year low and is a no-brainer. He thinks this ETF could double.

TOP PICK

The fundamental back drop and good technicals support this. A macro call on real interest rates as the yield curve goes negative. He would trade this with a stop, which could get triggered if the trade war saber rattling ends. Yield 0.36%

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VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX)