Opinions Bill Carrigan
Eldorado GoldELD.TOTOP PICKJun 30, 2014
Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 09, 2026. Market Open.
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Premium contentOur PAST TOP PICK with ELD has triggered its stop at $13.50. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time. This will result in a net investment gain of 19%, when combined with our previous recommendations.
Premium contentDoesn't own either. Kinross has historical issues trying to right the ship, doing better recently.
For ELD, a very high 60% of NAV is exposed to development risk. Recent mine is financed and built, but there's still execution risk. Trades at a discount on geopolitical risk too.
His preference is AEM, with one of the best teams and one of the best executions he's seen over the last decade.
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Sell Telus and buy Eldorado Gold? They're totally different companies, different stories. Can't compare them. Eldorado's valuation is extended, so he'd look elsewhere. Stick with telecoms, which pay decent income and offer decent growth. People are using more bandwidth. Infrastructure and telcom stocks have been overlooked as investors have chased the tech high-flyers.
Not shorting any gold right now. Stock's run well ahead of the group, so he's not as enamoured with this name. He'd look at B2Gold. For domestic, he'd take Detour Gold. Gold is the default winner in the face of US debt putting pressure on the dollar, and will probably be higher in 6 months.
(All 3 Top Picks are 1) out of favour 2) high Short position and 3 ) displaying positive relative performance. An ideal setting for a Short Squeeze.) One year chart showed a horrible Down in late 2013. This was followed by market perform through to March, followed by Under Perform with a tremendous upward move in June.