Stock price when the opinion was issued
Darling amongst investors. Fleet management business very fragmented - expecting further consolidation. Large opportunity for organic growth as well. Balance sheet continues to clean up - expecting free cash flow to increase. Core holding that will continue to own. As business continues to perform - expecting share buybacks.
The stock is up 27% in the past year though down a bit since the US election. It reports earnings Feb 26, before the next tariff 'deadline'. So earnings may be the more important factor if buying in the next month. We think $26 would be attractive, barring any other news.
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EPS of $0.31 beat estimates of $0.27 and revenues of $303.96M beat estimates of $282.22M. Net revenue grew by 16.5% for the quarter and it generated $0.37 of free cash flow per share for the quarter. Its capital-light business model expanded its ROE to 12.0%, and management raised its full-year 2023 guidance for net revenue, operating margin, adjusted operating income, adjusted EPS, free cash flow per share, and originations. It pays a yield close to 2%, has demonstrated strong margin expansion, forward estimates for growth are good, and it trades at a reasonable valuation. It does have a high net debt balance of $9.4B, but these were strong results and the market has reacted positively so far. We would consider the stock buyable at this time while being mindful of position sizing and the company's balance sheet risks.
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