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Element Fleet ManagementEFN.TOTOP PICKJun 01, 2015Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 19, 2026. Market Open.
Can't see anything specific, but we're seeing a fairly consistent trend in markets where a stock consolidates after making a significant move. That's really positive for the stock longer term, as it builds a base and then goes to the next level.
Business has been doing phenomenally well. Growth in mid-teens to low 20% over last few years, which probably continues for some time. More large companies are farming out fleet management to EFN, and EFN is offering more services (which boosts revenue, much of which is recurring).
He'd say to watch it. If it starts to break down more, then maybe something's changed. But sideways action is often just a case of consolidation.
The stock is up 27% in the past year though down a bit since the US election. It reports earnings Feb 26, before the next tariff 'deadline'. So earnings may be the more important factor if buying in the next month. We think $26 would be attractive, barring any other news.
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(A Top Pick June 11/14. Up 48.48%.) Thinks this is going to do again what the market is assuming they are about to do, which is to grow by accretive acquisition. It is the most obvious buyer for the General Electric (GE-N) fleet and probably one of the big contenders for the GE rail. If they were to do both of them, at expected multiples, you would get an accretion of roughly 25%. If the stock just keeps the multiple that it has had before the announcement of the issue, you would get $22.50-$23 a year from now. His one-year target is going to be $23. Thinks they will start a dividend a year or 2 out.