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Element Fleet ManagementEFN.TODON'T BUYOct 24, 2014Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 19, 2026. Market Open.
Can't see anything specific, but we're seeing a fairly consistent trend in markets where a stock consolidates after making a significant move. That's really positive for the stock longer term, as it builds a base and then goes to the next level.
Business has been doing phenomenally well. Growth in mid-teens to low 20% over last few years, which probably continues for some time. More large companies are farming out fleet management to EFN, and EFN is offering more services (which boosts revenue, much of which is recurring).
He'd say to watch it. If it starts to break down more, then maybe something's changed. But sideways action is often just a case of consolidation.
The stock is up 27% in the past year though down a bit since the US election. It reports earnings Feb 26, before the next tariff 'deadline'. So earnings may be the more important factor if buying in the next month. We think $26 would be attractive, barring any other news.
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This one makes him a little bit nervous in terms of valuation and the rate at which they acquire businesses and the kind they acquire. At this stage in the cycle, this is not one that he would be an owner of. Generally speaking, as the economic cycle goes longer and longer, investors should lighten up on financials. Some day, when things go bad, financials will lead us into it.