Opinions
Joe Mazumdar
Endeavour Mining Capital
EDV-T
COMMENT
Mar 08, 2016
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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If he was going to buy a silver producer, this would be it. The best of the Canadian producers. His preference is Wheaton Precious Metals as a royalty play.
Doesn't follow this one closely, so he has no useful insights. But he does follow EDR, a smaller cap silver company, which looks interesting.
Precious metals is an area of long term opportunities. We saw a great run for a couple years but in the last year, it has gone sideways to down. Enthusiasm has waned and is affected by the bitcoin craze. If Bitcoin loses sails, the inflation hedge money will come back to precious metals. Outlook for gold is good in the next years with governments adding debt. Trading at a low valuation. Has a compelling free cashflow. There is political risk however. Will perform better once gold picks up.
(Hold or Sell?) Acquiring True Gold (TGM-X). Recently did a comparison of True Gold with Roxgold (ROG-X). They both put out the feasibility at the same time and both say they have had about a 45% IRR with a gold price between $1250 and $1300. The difference is that Roxgold is high grade underground while True Gold’s Karma project is low-grade leaching (?), but are looking at very good recoveries of 85%. Roxgold’s funded through equity and debt while True Gold did a stream. The stream is a significant portion of the upfront capital required. By keeping Endeavor and the True Gold Karma project, the first 5 years of 100,000 ounces, you get 20% of the gold price.