Walt Disney Co.DISBUYOct 11, 2017Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 04, 2026. Market Open.
Has become the victim of a sort of new wokeism, which alienated a big chunk of consumers. He sold. Challenge is the franchise is one of a kind, but management keeps making mistakes.
Inexpensive here, if you have a long horizon. Reasonable value, but no immediate catalyst. Business is good, it just needs to find the next CEO with the right vision; when they get that right, the stock will move.
It's a good company, doing the right things. People still want to go their theme parks and cruise ships. Their streamer is doing a good job, taking the baton from linear TV. The stock looks like 2021 during the pandemic. Revenues and EPS are growing above 10% in each of the next two years, is trading at 14x PE and a dividend growing like crazy. But not it's uncomfortable to hold this stock, but you will be rewarded if you are patient.
You have to appreciate its brand power. Does something that no one else in the world can or does, and they do it very well. Lots of avid fans.
That said, not sure its valuation is merited. Cost of running theme parks is very high, and probably getting higher. In an economic slowdown, people may not pay those prices. Media assets are in constant competition. He's a value investor. Wait for a pullback.
Streaming turned profitable by end of 2024, finally, after a reorganization, and is now a major growth driver. Theme parks have been the largest profit generator and they keep coming out with new parks; people are paying high amounts to enjoy them. He expects healthy earnings to come. They will announce a deal between their ESPN and the NFL--sports drives huge profits. Everything is going right, but they need to appoint a successor to Bob Iger.
Mixed feelings. On the positive side, doing exceptionally well in streaming with a great library and great branding. Cross-sells better than anyone. Worried about the parks in the short term -- consumer slowdown, expecting global backlash against the US. Hard to bet against its 6-decade growth story for the long term. Balance sheet in fine shape, decent cashflow. Yield is 0.8%.
She is buying this for her new clients. The media sector as a whole has had an overhang, in terms of how people are consuming media and how it is going to be priced going forward. What they have going for them is their content and the type of content. ESPN is a big overhang, because people are streaming and not buying the big cable packages. Sports is a type of medium that people generally want to watch live. They announced they’re going to launch a consumer product for ESPN next year. Eventually they see it as a “pick and pay” where you can choose specific shows. They’ve also announced a consumer product for 2019 for their Disney content. For a long-term investment, this is an attractive entry point.