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Detour GoldDGC.TOWAITMar 03, 2015Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Feb 04, 2020. Market Open.
It is a higher cost asset. It is more volatile. They have a cash flow profile that will drop in a couple of years. The stock is off while investors plan to come back to it in a couple of years. You are buying it for the cost of the infrastructure. He would prefer to hold it for two years. (Analysts’ target: $20.44).
A lot of people have compared this to Osisko with large open pit low-grade deposit, a lot of moving of material throughput and mill availability being crucial to the costs, as to whether you are going to be making money or not. Osisko’s Malartic went through an extended ramp up period, which wasn’t easy and is still going through major improvements. He thinks Detour Gold is going through the same process. Their balance sheet can withstand a little bit of a delay in terms of going into free cash flow mode. He is looking for another few quarters of throughput improvement. With steady progress and costs continuing to fall off, it will be a great free cash flow generator.