Delta Air Lines IncDALBUYJul 14, 2021Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Sep 04, 2026. Market Open.
Airlines are always tough investments. Valuation is certainly cheap. EPS is expected to dip this year and then rise 20% in 2026. However this assumes no recession or other issues. The Q1 was decent and 19% ahead of estimates. The dividend was recently increased 25% (for the Q3). If we see Middle East peace and lower oil prices the stock may start acting better. As a 'value' stock we think it is OK. It has the usual sector and market risks, and we would not see it as a huge secular growth name. But......under the right conditions we could see an 11X mutliple or more, and this would be a good gain if it occurred. But note it's current multiple is not really out of line by historical standards.
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Bank of America reports there's an 8% increase in travel vs. 2019 (not 2020 during Covid). This trend will benefit American Airlines and Delta (his favourite airline), especially when international travel returns. True, shares have run up, but he feels there's still plenty of runway left.