Delta Air Lines IncDALTOP PICKJul 02, 2026Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Sep 02, 2026. Market Open.
Airlines are always tough investments. Valuation is certainly cheap. EPS is expected to dip this year and then rise 20% in 2026. However this assumes no recession or other issues. The Q1 was decent and 19% ahead of estimates. The dividend was recently increased 25% (for the Q3). If we see Middle East peace and lower oil prices the stock may start acting better. As a 'value' stock we think it is OK. It has the usual sector and market risks, and we would not see it as a huge secular growth name. But......under the right conditions we could see an 11X mutliple or more, and this would be a good gain if it occurred. But note it's current multiple is not really out of line by historical standards.
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Following the recent dividend increase, we reiterate DAL as a TOP PICK. Management is confident dividend growth is sustainable as quarterly cash flows increase, while debt is reduced. The recent dividend boost of 15% is backed by a payout ratio under 20% of cash flow. It trades at 17x earnings, 3x book and supports a ROE of 20%. We recommend trailing up the stop (from $69) to $76, looking to achieve $110 -- upside potential of 18%. Yield 0.8%
(Analysts’ price target is $107.00)