Dream Office REITD.UN.TODON'T BUYNov 21, 2013Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 08, 2026. Market Open.
Very concentrated portfolio in downtown Toronto, catering to smaller users. A call on the office market recovery, and the recovery is happening. Inexpensive. If one particular asset can boost leases, stock could do quite well. If not, you're only getting the yield of ~6% (which is good, but has been reduced).
It has been a tough environment for REITs in general, although industrial REITs have been holding up better than the rest. DIR.UN has a strong free cash flow yield, it offers a distribution yield of 5.4%, and has a high occupancy rate of 96%. Its FFO/debt ratio has been climbing over the years, signalling its funds from operations have been growing relative to its debt load. We would be comfortable buying DIR.UN for a long-term hold.
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Investors really do not like commercial office companies right now. D.UN has an 80% in-place occupancy rate, down from year end (0.8%) and down 1.5% from last year's comparable quarter. It is priced well, but there are risks here, and its small size adds risk as well. We would see it as a higher-risk hold.
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In very different sectors. Both trade at wide discount to NAV. Neither has catalysts on horizon. CSH.UN at risk of cutting distribution, which is not being covered due to lower occupancy. CSH trustees see growth coming, but can it recover occupancy levels lost during Covid? He's watching that, as it's hard to invest in the face of a possible cut. D.UN is in an extremely tough sector. Office space, globally, has suffered with work from home. Office sector is not dead, but vacancy rates are in high teens and climbing. A good operator, Dream still owns good office buildings, especially in Toronto.
This was punished a lot more than some of the other REITs over the summer. In the office space which is her least favourite property class right now. Because of supply/demand balance, this is an area that will be seeing a little bit of excess supply coming to the market, particularly in Toronto and Calgary. Has been a growth by acquisition story and have done very, very well over a period of time, but given the changing sentiment on the changing direction of interest rates and that the cap rate compression story is behind us, acquisitions are going to be much, much harder to come by.