
TSE:CUF.UN
(A Top Pick July 31/13. Down 4.7%.) Good diverse company, based in Québec. Stock has been under pressure, which he thinks is partly because of concerns about Québec. Has liked this for a long time, but it has been disappointing. Last earnings were a little bit disappointing on their operation side. About 7% yield but not a lot of growth.
This is in a sector that is seen as very safe but there has been a 20% selloff because of rising interest rates. When interest rates rise, valuations get extremely stretched. If you believe that interest rates are going to go higher, there could be further losses in the REIT space. Nothing wrong with this REIT. They have great properties.
In Québec on industrial, retail and office. Have done a great job of focusing on that region. Trying to diversify in Calgary and are focusing also in Montréal. Trades at 16X AFFO so not incredibly cheap but he feels they are not only going to keep their distribution, but will keep growing. Have a terrific portfolio and good management. He prefers being defensive by going more into apartments and assets that are really lowering their balance sheet and not increasing it.
(A Top Pick August 20/12. Down 13.56%.) Sold off in sympathy with the rest of the REIT universe. Sold his holdings. Doubled the size of the REIT in the last 3 years but cash flow per unit growth has been constrained by their balance sheet. Have now de-levered and secured an investment grade credit rating so they will get rid of the convertibles and add more secured debentures which will improve their cost of capital. Still a good quality name.
His concern is that they abandoned their redevelopment strategy and organic growth, a very good strategy that worked well for them. Changed to pursue growth through acquisitions. Thinks it is time for them to digest those acquisitions. He would be inclined to pick away at it here as he expects occupancy and rents to pick up and they have a lot of room to realize some occupancy gain. Trades at a discount to NAV. Payout ratio is only about 90%.
Diversified REIT with most assets in Quebec. Has been in the penalty box because of decisions recently. Arranged a financing transaction for a family that owns a large part of the REIT for a project outside of the REIT. Thinks most of bad news is priced in. 6.5% yield. Can deliver 3-4% cash flow growth. Continues to hold.
A weak REIT relative to the REIT sector and REITs in general are weak relative to the market. Cash flow growth has been particularly weak. Holding money in a loser is money that is tied up that could be deployed elsewhere.