CiscoCSCOTOP PICKApr 23, 2014Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Sep 04, 2026. Market Open.
Like Apple it was sort of a sleeper last year. It sells processes and analogue chips, very different than GPU's. Is involved in networking products and services. The AI stack explosion needed their products and technology. It is fully priced according to analysts' price targets.
Kudos on that choice, because it's not been a market darling (since the dot-com bubble). Riding coattails of stronger players in the space, catching the halo effect. The old adage: "No one ever went broke taking a profit" -- good risk management.
Prefers, and owns, ANET.
Part of IT infrastructure, but $27B acquisition of Splunk really helped drive security business. Finally hit a new high (previous high was March 27, 2000). Phenomenal allocator of capital. Compelling buy. Every year, buys back stock and raises dividend.
Finally growing revenues again, he's looking for mid-high single-digit revenue growth. AI will bring a much higher recurring revenue stream. Its solutions are so embedded in businesses, he's not worried about clients trying to go it alone with AI.
This is a value manager’s dream because Wall Street hates this company. All analysts have downgraded it. When he looks at it, he sees a company with about 30% of the market cap in net cash. Earnings will have flattened this year at around $1.95-$2 level. This company remains #1 in the world in all of their businesses. Have tremendous scale. Great management team. Earnings are poised to rebound in 2015, partly due to just general tech spending increases especially in their area. Yield of 3.25%.