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SalesForce.com Inc.
CRM-N
PARTIAL BUY
Jun 13, 2023
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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On the fence on this name. Back in the day it was a high-growth software company, but now lower growth (which happens as you get bigger). Recent deal is fine. But activists had identified ways to eke out more profit, company said no more M&A, and now it's back to M&A.
Also, he's waiting for more durability in the software AI story, which is slowly coming together. Wait and see, better ideas elsewhere right now.
Beat, raised, doing a (really accretive) acquisition at a reasonable multiple. Earnings were flat YOY, but revenues were up 7.6%. Reducing headcount by 10%. Guiding to 8-9% revenue growth.
Dominant player. A stock you have to own, but has to be at the right price. (He's cheap, he wants to get it at a better price ;) Trades at 20x PE for 2027, with 13%. Better places to put capital to work. Try for 5-10% lower.
A leader in software it is also a pioneer in staff models. It is evolving into an operating system for more modern enterprises and AI. It has a good valuation at 22 X earnings and she sees 36% upside. Through its share buybacks and dividends it is providing good shareholder returns. Although it is down 23% year-to-date she gives it a 9 out of 10. Buy 51 Hold 10 Sell 2
(Analysts’ price target is $353.69)
Premium contentCRM is building cash reserves, aggressively buying back shares and retiring debt. It trades at 4x book and supports a 10% ROE. It manages its platform efficiently and is well positioned for an improving economy. We recommend setting a stop-loss at $183, looking to achieve $352 -- upside potential of 32%. Yield 0.3%
(Analysts’ price target is $352.14)Premium contentPremium contentCRM is like Uber in the $60s. Their last earnings were great. The CEO will focus on free cash flow and margins and growth. The market is completely missing this, expecting some sort of AI to take over what CRM is doing. Absurd. CRM is already using AI. Is unloved, caught in the hedgefund shorts. This can easily rally 20% after earnings.
CRM is another big tech stocks comeback story, rallying 20% in the past year, but 65% year-to-date after plunging to end 2022. Activist investors have been driving cost cutting to beef up profit margins rather than raise sales growth. The results: Q1 revenues topped estimates, operating margins improved and the company raised the July revenue forecast from $8.49 billion to $8.52 billion. Something is working. Add to this momentum, CRM throwing their hat into the Generative AI ring with Einstein and AI Cloud. The new tech can help enterprise clients craft emails, service briefings, case summaries and work orders. Read 3 Big Tech Stocks Making a Comeback for our full analysis.