ConocoPhillipsCOPTOP PICKApr 19, 2013Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jul 24, 2026. Market Open.
For oil energy, pessimism on supply was really priced in on March 26. Since then, oil names have retraced. Oil is a significant portion of the economy, and that's why it causes inflation.
With oil prices coming down on the back of peace breaking out, the narrative and fund flows are going to be somewhat negative. Capital will move to other areas. The price will be higher than it was pre-conflict, but we'll have to see what this "new normal" price will be. And he wouldn't buy any energy names till that shakes out.
Feels it might be better to be in an integrated name. This gives you a fairly diversified portfolio of onshore, offshore, etc. There is a good gas portfolio and a good oil portfolio. You are getting paid 4.61% to be in the stock. Thinks they can be free cash flow positive in the next year. 4.5X EBITDA is a relatively good valuation entry point. Could see it at $70 in the next 2 years.