ConocoPhillipsCOPDON'T BUYJul 13, 2026Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jul 22, 2026. Market Open.
For oil energy, pessimism on supply was really priced in on March 26. Since then, oil names have retraced. Oil is a significant portion of the economy, and that's why it causes inflation.
With oil prices coming down on the back of peace breaking out, the narrative and fund flows are going to be somewhat negative. Capital will move to other areas. The price will be higher than it was pre-conflict, but we'll have to see what this "new normal" price will be. And he wouldn't buy any energy names till that shakes out.
The oil price will remain high as the Strait of Hormuz will be blocked. Western oil producers will take market share from Iraq, Bahrain and Qatar. COP is reasonably value and assets are stable, but he wouldn't buy it. Cut COP doesn't stand out among US oil names.