Celestica IncCLS.TOPARTIAL BUYJan 31, 2025Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 30, 2026. Market Open.
It's a manufacturing company. Can they continue to grow at this level and justify a high multiple? The market overestimates their earnings and margins. So when AI emerges, you see a strong pullback. Be cautious with stocks like this which aren't consistent over time. View their PE as a manufacturing and not a tech company.
Helps build hardware behind AI and cloud infrastructure. Massive growth. Revenue jumped more than 50% last quarter. Moving into products with better margins, increasingly important in AI supply chain.
Expectations are high. She sees upside potential of 30%, price target of ~$625. No dividend.
A winner in the AI build-out: cloud infrastucture, high-speed networking and other AI-related systems. Also, they supply aerospace/defence where defence budgets have increased. Third, they're in healthtech devices. All businesses are drivers, especially AI. A lot of growth is baked into the stock, but buy on any dips, on headline about any data centres being delayed.
Instead, they own AVGO in their global fund. CLS is sort of riding the coattails of AVGO by packaging components to sell to the end consumer. Benefiting from growth in TPUs that AVGO and GOOG have been delivering. Thinks that trend will continue.
Two years ago, traded at 10x PE. Now trades at 30-35x. Lots of other companies out there do this type of work. In an eventual slowdown, may see margin and volume pressure. Could be quite volatile from here, and he'd take profits so you're just left with the house's money.
A long position for him. Winning in its marketplace. Supplying data centre development. If there's risk to data centres, then there's risk to this name. Trading above the 50-day MA. He's going to keep it on a pretty tight leash. Wouldn't buy today. Technically, challenges on the AI trade right now.
Doesn't like the way the NASDAQ opened up 2.4% early this morning and then reversed and is now down on the day. Not a great technical sign.
CLS traded at a forward P/E of below 10X for years until 2023 when its AI segment began generating significant growth. Its forward P/E has climbed to 24X, and for a company with steady margins and expecting to grow earnings in the 20%+ range for the next couple of years, we believe a forward P/E in the range of 20X to 25X makes sense. A 30X forward multiple could be justified if management guides for higher growth rates and it can execute on expanding its profit margins. Much of this also depends on the sustainability of the AI story and if we eventually witness a CAPEX down cycle for data centers and chips. Overall, we continue to like the name here.
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