Cameco CorporationCCO.TOBUYJun 04, 2025Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jul 15, 2026. Market Open.
It goes back to the fact that there's been some profit-taking over the past month or so. Still up 50% over last 12 months. Long-term, clean-energy/renewable theme makes a lot of sense. Fallen to around the 200-day MA, still pretty attractive from a technical perspective with its higher highs and higher lows.
He owns some bonds, but hasn't pulled the trigger on the equity. Disconnect between a 10-year horizon for contracts and the current spot price for uranium. Spot price won't be showing up in the profitability.
If you've made money, well done. Remember that commodities tend to overshoot in either direction. Don't add at these levels.
Beat last quarter, but guidance was a bit lower. Very attractive, multi-year outlook, but don't add here. About 40% growth, but trading ~75x PE for 2027. Ironically, a real risk to this name is if peace comes to the Ukraine-Russia war.
You have to have respect for stock prices at both ends of the extreme.
Uranium stocks had a fantastic run. Not at a 12-month low but, fundamentally speaking, you have utilities that aren't properly covered in terms of their needs. Supply issues. Not many are starting new mines, as they wait for prices to get back to $100/pound. It takes time to start new mines. Buy it now, knowing of the fundamental global energy trend in place. Modular reactors will become reality over the next 10 years.
Spot market is what people look at every single day, and that's where you see the gyrations in uranium prices. Right now, ~$65/pound. Term market is where most of the long-term contracting gets done, such as by utilities; and that one's been fairly steady.