Stockchase Opinions

Darren SissonsBP PLCBPBUYMay 16, 2025

Stock's never really recovered from oil spill in 2010. Macro overlay of tariffs and a slowing economy. Would make sense for Shell to try for a takeout, but would probably fail on anti-trust. He thinks Shell is the better company, and that's the one he holds in the space.

Generally, oil is out of favour. You make money when you buy, not when you sell. If you like the name, you can buy it here. If you get a takeout premium on it, then sell into the premium and don't wait for the close.

$29.76

Stock price when the opinion was issued

$41.50

As of May 28, 2026. Market Open.

integrated oils
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SELL

It's had a parabolic move, so you can sell and take your gains.

SELL

A joke. Spent billions pursuing the dream of alternative energies, instead of sticking to what they had a credible skill set in. If you forced him, he'd say sell this and buy CVE.

WEAK BUY

It's the cheapest oil company. Are buying back stock an are increasing the dividend, but they let their debt get too high. Then, oil prices softened. We likes the new CEO, though, and will announce a new strategy. He expects asset sales to reduce debt and eventually raise share prices.

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TOP PICK

Our purpose is reimagining energy for people and our planet. We want to help the world reach net zero and improve people’s lives. We will aim to dramatically reduce carbon in our operations and in our production, and grow new low carbon businesses, products and services. We want to be an energy company with purpose; one that is trusted by society, valued by shareholders and motivating for everyone who works at bp. Social media mentions are up 1300% in the past 24h.

WEAK BUY

Case for energy is still there. Transitioning toward more renewable energy, low-carbon solutions. Long term, can make some sense. Oil price has recovered since pandemic days. Nice yield of 4.5%. In the space, his favourite name is SHEL. 

DON'T BUY

Depends on price of oil. Why buy foreign? Great oil companies in Canada like CNQ and SU, which do very well. Difficult environment in the face of renewables. Buying back shares, reducing debt, increasing dividend.

DON'T BUY

Large-cap oil will continue to do well. Using capital in shareholder-friendly ways. Lots of accidents over the years. Buying this takes on currency risk. Lots of great Canadian companies to own instead. He owns CNQ.

WAIT

He likes the energy space since there is a tight supply. You need to see a breakout above recent highs before buying. He prefers Shell on the international scale. Pays a 3.3% dividend.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Aug 10/22, Up 19%)

One of the best performing major energy companies in the world.
Trades at cheaper price than other names in the sector.
Very good oil marketing & trading group.
Good capital allocation at company with share buybacks and debt reduction.
Expecting recovery of oil price going forward.

BUY

Buying back shares, increased dividend, paying down debt. Returning free cashflow to shareholders. Will continue to do that. Trying to be more environmentally friendly, but can't avoid that they're oil & gas. Capex will slowly go up. Throws up a lot of cash. Dividend is well supported.

DON'T BUY

Sell shares and buy Canadian energy instead.
Conventional oil production falling.
Misguided investments in renewables.
Not a good long term investment.

BUY
These companies had exploding capex, but then the world changed with ESG. So they paid down debt, bought back shares, increased dividends. Wants to be more in renewables, and his only issue is how much they pay for something. Undervalued. Doing all the right things. Non-aggressive capex, returning money to shareholders, and that's why it will continue to do well.
BUY
Likes the name. Technically, very sound. Quite cheap. Likes energy. Complete underinvestment in the energy space, so companies are returning capital to shareholders. He owns SHEL.
BUY
Given the cashflows and potential to raise dividends and do buybacks, you have to add large-cap, European integrated companies. Favours them over Canada, excluding SU, as they're not subject to the WCS discount. Great total return story the next few years. You could also look at SHEL or TTE. He'd buy here.