Opinions
Stan Wong
BP PLC
BP-N
WEAK BUY
May 02, 2024
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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Buying back shares, increased dividend, paying down debt. Returning free cashflow to shareholders. Will continue to do that. Trying to be more environmentally friendly, but can't avoid that they're oil & gas. Capex will slowly go up. Throws up a lot of cash. Dividend is well supported.
One of the best performing major energy companies in the world.
Trades at cheaper price than other names in the sector.
Very good oil marketing & trading group.
Good capital allocation at company with share buybacks and debt reduction.
Expecting recovery of oil price going forward.
Our purpose is reimagining energy for people and our planet. We want to help the world reach net zero and improve people’s lives. We will aim to dramatically reduce carbon in our operations and in our production, and grow new low carbon businesses, products and services. We want to be an energy company with purpose; one that is trusted by society, valued by shareholders and motivating for everyone who works at bp. Social media mentions are up 1300% in the past 24h.
It's the cheapest oil company. Are buying back stock an are increasing the dividend, but they let their debt get too high. Then, oil prices softened. We likes the new CEO, though, and will announce a new strategy. He expects asset sales to reduce debt and eventually raise share prices.
Stock's never really recovered from oil spill in 2010. Macro overlay of tariffs and a slowing economy. Would make sense for Shell to try for a takeout, but would probably fail on anti-trust. He thinks Shell is the better company, and that's the one he holds in the space.
Generally, oil is out of favour. You make money when you buy, not when you sell. If you like the name, you can buy it here. If you get a takeout premium on it, then sell into the premium and don't wait for the close.
Case for energy is still there. Transitioning toward more renewable energy, low-carbon solutions. Long term, can make some sense. Oil price has recovered since pandemic days. Nice yield of 4.5%. In the space, his favourite name is SHEL.