Stockchase Opinions

Veeral Khatri Boralex Inc. BLX-T BUY Dec 08, 2017

This is going to do fine. They have excellent renewable energy assets. The valuation is a little more expensive, but these types of renewable businesses should trade at a premium multiple. The valuation is not overly expensive.

$23.550

Stock price when the opinion was issued

electrical utilities
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HOLD
A good run driven by divestiture of wind assets and by its recent win on solar procurement. Demonstrates their ability to go into new markets and capture growth. They could use solar as a platform to expand energy and battery storage. Hold for the long term.
BUY
Allan Tong’s Discover Picks The company boasted liquidity of $921 million in its Q2 report that will contribute to increase capacity to 4.4 GW overall by 2025, at a CAGR (compound annual growth rate) of 16%. Boralex trades at 12.3x 2023 EV/EBITDA, which is below the sector average of 13.7x. BLX pays a 1.3&% dividend which has fallen as shares rallied. Its price targets to $55 are reasonable, promising some upside, which makes Boralex a trade or a long-term hold. Read 3 Stocks to See Green in Green Energy Stocks for our full analysis.
BUY
Allan Tong’s Discover Picks Boralex already had a strong presence in western Europe when Russia invaded Ukraine in February 2022. Fears of a cold winter in Europe that has cut off Russia energy helped fuel (pardon the pun) the rally in BLX last summer. Reember that Boralex is the only other green energy player operating in Europe. While the August rally stopped sooner than expected, BLX is making another run now. The street forgave Boralex missing its last quarter in November due to these projections of growth and acquisitions. Read 3 Reopening Stocks for China’s Return for our full analysis.
WATCH

None of the renewable businesses are under pressure on the dividends, but it's the valuations. He likes them for growth and ESG reasons, but hasn't made the switch. Once he did make the switch, BLX would be one of the first names on his list.

BUY
Allan Tong’s Discover Picks

Between the March 28 budget till the eve of Good Friday, BLX rallied 9.2% while Algonquin Power (surprisingly) rose 6.1% and Northland Power 2.1%. Since February 24, Boralex has soared 20%, also outpacing its peers. Read Dark horses: Nuvei, Cineplex, Boralex for our full analysis.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jun 06/22, Down 11%)

Very good Q1 results. Full pipeline of fully contracted projects. Won 2 large storage projects in Ontario. Expects production to double within next few years. Rising rates have been an overhang on the sector. Great growth ahead.

TOP PICK

Leading renewable energy producer. Mainly in wind, solar. Robust pipeline of storage projects expected to double production capacity. Valuations in space have been crushed. By far, best in the sector. Very high-quality assets, best management team. Multi-decade growth and tailwinds. 

Great entry point at historically low levels of 9x EBITDA. Recent record results, 22% growth in EBITDA. Strong free cashflow. Yield is 2.3%.

(Analysts’ price target is $39.30)
DON'T BUY

Power generation, in multiple different ways. Really embraced clean energy, which he's all for as an idea, but not as an investment. Cost of financing new projects has gone up measurably with higher rates, and the payback time is very long.

TRADE

This is how he'd play the renewable energy trade. Thinks rates will go higher next year, which makes him cautious. If that's the case for rates, a lot of the bond proxies like utilities and REITs are going to come under pressure. A bit more upside potential, but for a trade.

BUY

By far, best performer in the space. Great growth in EBITDA, good balance sheet, great management.