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Stockchase Opinions

John StephensonBest Buy Company IncBBYTOP PICKFeb 13, 2014

Worst performer on the S&P thus far this year. This is a multiyear turnaround. It fell over 35% at the beginning of the year. Earnings were slightly disappointing. It leads in every single category that it has. They are turning around. They have the best price guarantee so a sales associate will match any price on Amazon. Amazon is starting to increase their rates in a way because they now have to charge sales tax in many of the states. There is a lot of low hanging fruit. They have to fix the website, fix customer experience a little bit, but if they can do that, they can selloff their Chinese affiliate which is worth hundreds of millions of dollars. Cheap and thinks it will be 30%-40% higher next year. Dividend yield of 2.67%.

$24.68

Stock price when the opinion was issued

$74.87

As of Jun 18, 2026. Market Open.

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DON'T BUY

They report Tuesday. They will be punished for raising prices on devices that include memory chips.

DON'T BUY

Pays a high dividend yield and has bigger upside ahead though the stock has been crushed this year. It could see a 15% return in 2026. However, the consumer is getting weaker. Pass.

COMMENT

It reports Tuesday. The report will be okay, probably hurt by higher interest rates and tariffs though offset by a PC refresh cycle.

DON'T BUY

A too-high dividend is a red flag, a sell. He was attracted to this for its dividend. Also, it would benefit from the biggest PC in years because of Microsoft's Copilot. Share rallied at first, and he took profits. It has since fallen.

COMMENT

It reports Thursday. Shares have been struggling, but Best Buy will benefit if the next wave of PCs integrate AI--this should be the biggest PC-refresh cycle in history. BBY is hurt by a lack of turnover in housing.

BUY

The PC refresh cycle will start in July and will drive BBY higher. Go long on this.

WEAK BUY

It reports Thursday and it may not be that good, but Nvidia's Jensen Huang forecasts a  new PC cycle. People buy PCs from BBY. Maybe buy BBY after this quarter.

DON'T BUY

Reports this week. Electronics has been tough this past year, thought he thinks PC sales are bottoming. Despite paying a 5.5% dividend. Expect 1-2 more quarters of soft sales before this turns around.

COMMENT

They've had seven quarters of declining sales. When this reports, will BB get a Target-like market reaction (low expectations, beats, so a strong rally) or will BB get Amazon'd?

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Nov 17/22, Up 0.5%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

Our PAST TOP PICK with BBY has triggered its stop at $70.  To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time.  This will result in a net investment gain of 11%, when combined with our previous recommendations.  

DON'T BUY
Made a ton of money during the pandemic. One of the better-run retailers, but can't see how this is a competitive advantage over the long term. Challenging times ahead with e-commerce everywhere, so he'd rather own the WMTs and AMZNs of the world.
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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Nov 17/22, Up 23.5%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with BBY has achieved its $86.00 objective. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering half the position at this time and trailing up the stop-loss (from $62.50) to $70.00.
BUY
She owns little retail. Her expectations for BB were so low, like a decline in same-store sales (10.5% decline this quarter, in fact) vs. expectations of a 13% decline. Better than expects, though it's not great. BB is used to managing their consumer electronics inventory, so BB's margins will be hindered compared to Target and Walmart are not as disciplined in managing their electronics inventory. So, there'll be compression in BB stores from promotional activity. Note: computer revenues this quarter are up 23% from Q4 2019, so consumer demand is still there, not dead. Don't forget the power of seasonal spending--and we're on the cusp of holiday spending. This bdoes well for November and December comps.
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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly We reiterate BBY as a TOP PICK. The company has worked hard to streamline inventory systems, expand e-sales, and even leased out floor space to major brands to adjust growing inflationary pressure. It has inventory to supply gaming consoles and other key products heading into the holiday period. The stock trades at 9x earnings compared to peers at 36x. It pays a good dividend (which has grown for 18 consecutive years) and is backed by a payout ratio under 50% of cash flow. We recommend trailing up the stop-loss (from $50.00) to $62.50, looking to achieve $86 - upside over 26%. Yield 4.6% (Analysts’ price target is $86.13)
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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Despite doom and gloom with inflation and a slow down in consumer spending, recently reported earnings beat expectations by 15% and boast a ROE of 58%. The company has worked hard to streamline inventory systems, expand e-sales, and even leased out floor space to major brands to adjust. The stock trades at 10x earnings compared to peers at 30x. It pays a good dividend, backed by a payout ratio under 30% of cash flow. We recommend placing a stop loss at $50, looking to achieve $86 - upside over 20%. Yield 4.95% (Analysts’ price target is $86.13)