Opinions The Panic-Proof Portfolio (Stockchase Research)
Best Buy Company IncBBYPAST TOP PICKMay 25, 2023
$71.47
Stock price when the opinion was issued
$86.21
As of Aug 04, 2026. Market Open.
specialty stores
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TOP PICK
Has a clean balance sheet, lots of cash, and pays a 4% dividend. Also, a big TV refresh cycle is coming, the first in a decade. BBY is the exclusive seller of next-wave RGB TVs for the first year in the US. The stock is cheap. RGB won't be as big as the OLED TV cycle, but will drive the cycle for 1.5 years.
(Analysts’ price target is $78.75)
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COMMENT
They've had seven quarters of declining sales. When this reports, will BB get a Target-like market reaction (low expectations, beats, so a strong rally) or will BB get Amazon'd?
Joe TerranovaOwned
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DON'T BUY
Made a ton of money during the pandemic. One of the better-run retailers, but can't see how this is a competitive advantage over the long term. Challenging times ahead with e-commerce everywhere, so he'd rather own the WMTs and AMZNs of the world.
Jamie Murray No
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Premium contentPAST TOP PICK
BUY
She owns little retail. Her expectations for BB were so low, like a decline in same-store sales (10.5% decline this quarter, in fact) vs. expectations of a 13% decline. Better than expects, though it's not great. BB is used to managing their consumer electronics inventory, so BB's margins will be hindered compared to Target and Walmart are not as disciplined in managing their electronics inventory. So, there'll be compression in BB stores from promotional activity. Note: computer revenues this quarter are up 23% from Q4 2019, so consumer demand is still there, not dead. Don't forget the power of seasonal spending--and we're on the cusp of holiday spending. This bdoes well for November and December comps.
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Premium contentTOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly We reiterate BBY as a TOP PICK. The company has worked hard to streamline inventory systems, expand e-sales, and even leased out floor space to major brands to adjust growing inflationary pressure. It has inventory to supply gaming consoles and other key products heading into the holiday period. The stock trades at 9x earnings compared to peers at 36x. It pays a good dividend (which has grown for 18 consecutive years) and is backed by a payout ratio under 50% of cash flow. We recommend trailing up the stop-loss (from $50.00) to $62.50, looking to achieve $86 - upside over 26%. Yield 4.6% (Analysts’ price target is $86.13)
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Our PAST TOP PICK with BBY has triggered its stop at $70. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time. This will result in a net investment gain of 11%, when combined with our previous recommendations.