Stockchase Opinions

Jim Cramer - Mad MoneyBoeingBACOMMENTDec 27, 2023

This was a core holding of his coming out of Covid, and when 2022 began he declared it to be the Year of Boeing He figured that after being grounded return to the skies. Also, with only Boeing and Airbus building planes and facing surging post-pandemic demand, how could Boeing screw up? Indeed, Boeing's order book swelled and earnings soared. If you bought this in spring 2022, you would've made a killing. Problem is, he bought shares a lot earlier. Problem is Boeing's mismanagement, but when they screw up, the results can be fatal. Yes, he took profits in 2021, but then waited and waited as the coming faced problem after problem. Boeing kept dropping the ball by taking forever to retrofit their 737 Max (after getting recertified after crashes a few years ago).  Then, Boeing was blocked from selling their 787 to customers. Also, orders from China didn't come as hoped. In January 2022, Boeing reported an awful top and bottom line miss, higher labour costs, charges from late deliveries and nasty cost overruns. Another bad quarter followed. Were also huge costs overruns on a defense aircraft delivery.  Investors lost confidence and the company addressed it by moving HQ.  He got fed up with Boeing and sold. But he sold it in spring 2022 which he should withstood the pain and bought more shares. He should have stuck with his original thesis, because he would have nearly doubled his money.

$262.10

Stock price when the opinion was issued

$217.42

As of Jun 04, 2026. Market Open.

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BUY

Their chart looks good. The CEO is in China and there's a good chance Boeing will strike a deal.

DON'T BUY

Tragic control issues have been straightened out, but future prospects are already built into the share price. Success is not guaranteed. Are better opportunities elsewhere.

DON'T BUY

Making progress, but still in recovery mode. Wants to see longer track record of consistent execution. Deliveries are picking up, massive order book. Cashflow has finally turned positive. Complex industry can create bumps along the road. 2/10 on value.

WATCH
BA vs. LMT

Probably two different animals in terms of exposures. Which one you prefer depends on what you're looking for.

BA is coming off a very difficult time in terms of culture -- relationship with FAA, turnaround, planes grounded. Tough road, but hopefully coming off the bottom. Growing ~14%. Recently announced increase in production levels. This may improve FCF.

LMT growing at a slower rate of 5%. Much more exposure to defense. Robust spending on defense around the world.

DON'T BUY
Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy's most-liked answers from 5i Research.

Boeing continues to recover from its problems of a few years back, and is winning orders again. The stock is up 31% in the past year. Net debt is still very very high (27x cash flow) but EPS is expected to rise 10-fold into 2027, after seven straight years of losses. The sector rally has helped sentiment here for sure. The stock is now very expensive on valuation. The analysts favour it more than before, certainly, but it would still not make their top five in the defense/aerospace sector. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free

DON'T BUY

Still has a lot of debt, and that's one of his biggest issues. New management has done a pretty good job turning the ship around. Not a bad bet in the sector, but he's not crazy about the sector.

HOLD

It reports Tuesday. Shares have jumped since the last quarter, and he doubts that can report a number to equal that move up. Hold, because they're in year one of a multi-year turn in Boeing.

DON'T BUY

On technicals, 200-day MA is slowly trending higher and that's positive. Stock price is above that, which is also positive. Not usually a name for his portfolios, based on its products -- they can be very volatile due to global issues and product controls. Economy can affect deliveries. 

Combo of aerospace and defense. In that space, he'd veer more toward pure defense.

BUY

He added more. The company did everything wrong year after year, but is now beyond a turnaround story. It's now an investment. Was up 30% last year. The order backlog is there, plus defence is aerospace as a tailwind.

BUY

He bought more Boeing. The company has gone through horrific years, with bad news after bad news. But they are turning the page by taking advantage of the defence and aerospace stories. They aren't going crazy with deliveries but are ramping it. They are worried about efficiency and safety, which is really important. Good profit margins.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Are finally getting their act together, but wouldn't buy unless it's under $200. The last quarter was very good with positive cash flow.

WATCH

Ups and downs over the years. OK right now and looks fairly resilient. Trending upward, so far so good. Holding above $200-210 support. You have to play the trend on this one. (Years ago, he got back in thinking all troubles were behind it, and he woke up one morning to find one of the doors had fallen off.)

BUY

He started a position earlier this month. He avoided it for a long time, but this year he wanted it to take advantage of Trump's trade war. Also, the CEO is doing a good job. He entered after the big pullback earlier this month. Buy some, then wait till it touches $200. Reasons: only 2 companies build at scale commercial jets in the world such as Japan ordering 100 Boeing jets. Making more planes will boost their cash flow. The CEO has cleaned up the messy balance sheet; has sold parts of the operation to pay off debt.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

They report this weak. He expects a good report. Buy if this falls to $220.

BUY

They just announced huge Q2 deliveries. He sees this flying much higher.