BroadcomAVGOBUYDec 08, 2025Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 08, 2026. Market Open.
AVGO is like the smaller cousin of NVDA. Built GOOG's AI program, increasingly making waves with Anthropic (owns Claude). Interesting, but not a shoot-the-lights-out opportunity. He'd buy.
MRVL is trying to take a share of the chips that go into GOOG, and is already involved with AMZN cloud. Be careful. It's not a given that it's a capable designer of cutting-edge chips. Coin flip. We've been fooled before.
NVDA is actually more interesting than both.
Macro fears of AI overspending, diminishing returns, circular financing, and bubble worries. Stock-specific fears of a highly competitive market, top 5 customers account for 40% of revenues, high debt levels from past acquisitions may impact future M&A.
Stunning rise since 2022. Unprecedented thirst for products. Acquisitions continue to be a growth driver. Big cashflow, very sustainable dividend. Seven analyst upgrades over last 30 days.
Trades at 23x PE 2027 earnings, growing at 34%.
The options market suggests a 9% move for Oracle, but 6% for Broadcom. Oracle has to address their capex---will they do a $35 billion private debt deal which will add to their existing debt? Can enter at $185. Broadcom has more opportunity, given more customers for their chips and their existing relationship with Alphabet. Their PE is a little high, but they will benefit from a pivot away from Nvidia to other chips. AVGO has a tremendous growth opportunity, currently at only 9% of market share vs. NVDA's dominance if there is a market pivot, which he feels is happening.