BroadcomAVGOHOLDSep 12, 2024Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jul 01, 2026. Market Open.
AVGO is like the smaller cousin of NVDA. Built GOOG's AI program, increasingly making waves with Anthropic (owns Claude). Interesting, but not a shoot-the-lights-out opportunity. He'd buy.
MRVL is trying to take a share of the chips that go into GOOG, and is already involved with AMZN cloud. Be careful. It's not a given that it's a capable designer of cutting-edge chips. Coin flip. We've been fooled before.
NVDA is actually more interesting than both.
Most important thing to know about semiconductor stocks, AI, and technology: it's exciting at the time, but there are going to be cyclical downturns. So there's going to be a pullback in capital expenditures in the space. Hard to tell when that's going to happen.
Pretty strong chart, with stock price well above the 200-day MA. Higher highs and higher lows. Not overly expensive compared to a lot of tech names out there. Trades around 27-28x earnings, 16-17% growth rate. Forward price to sales is up there at 13x. PEG ratio is 2x.
Need to be very selective in which names you want to own. There are some tech names trading at a PEG of 1x. Starting to see divergence in valuation. We're getting later in the game to be overly exuberant about technology because earnings are now broadening out beyond tech.