BroadcomAVGOPARTIAL SELLSep 12, 2025Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 08, 2026. Market Open.
AVGO is like the smaller cousin of NVDA. Built GOOG's AI program, increasingly making waves with Anthropic (owns Claude). Interesting, but not a shoot-the-lights-out opportunity. He'd buy.
MRVL is trying to take a share of the chips that go into GOOG, and is already involved with AMZN cloud. Be careful. It's not a given that it's a capable designer of cutting-edge chips. Coin flip. We've been fooled before.
NVDA is actually more interesting than both.
Macro fears of AI overspending, diminishing returns, circular financing, and bubble worries. Stock-specific fears of a highly competitive market, top 5 customers account for 40% of revenues, high debt levels from past acquisitions may impact future M&A.
Stunning rise since 2022. Unprecedented thirst for products. Acquisitions continue to be a growth driver. Big cashflow, very sustainable dividend. Seven analyst upgrades over last 30 days.
Trades at 23x PE 2027 earnings, growing at 34%.
Chart's gone parabolic, indicators are screaming overbought. The thing about mean reversion, is there's no justice in the market and it doesn't have to happen that way. You either say you'll buy more when it goes down, but it never does. Or you decide to buy on the downswing, and it just keeps diving.
Be cautious, just because of the steep parabolic move on the chart. Look for it to go sideways. If you don't own, don't jump in now. If you do own, clip some profits now but keep your base position.