BroadcomAVGOSTRONG BUYMar 08, 2024Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 08, 2026. Market Open.
AVGO is like the smaller cousin of NVDA. Built GOOG's AI program, increasingly making waves with Anthropic (owns Claude). Interesting, but not a shoot-the-lights-out opportunity. He'd buy.
MRVL is trying to take a share of the chips that go into GOOG, and is already involved with AMZN cloud. Be careful. It's not a given that it's a capable designer of cutting-edge chips. Coin flip. We've been fooled before.
NVDA is actually more interesting than both.
Macro fears of AI overspending, diminishing returns, circular financing, and bubble worries. Stock-specific fears of a highly competitive market, top 5 customers account for 40% of revenues, high debt levels from past acquisitions may impact future M&A.
Stunning rise since 2022. Unprecedented thirst for products. Acquisitions continue to be a growth driver. Big cashflow, very sustainable dividend. Seven analyst upgrades over last 30 days.
Trades at 23x PE 2027 earnings, growing at 34%.
She trimmed her holdings a month ago and felt foolish as the price kept rising, but remains a big believer in AVGO. Shares are up 51% in the last 3 months, so expectations are really high, and from 16x forward PE to 25x (2023-4). But it should be around that multiple, because their AI business is only starting, from $7.5 billion to $10 billion (2023-4). Problem is, AVGO didn't raise numbers across all their businesses, some of which are troughing. Software is a home run, though. Share are falling despite beating in their report, but they needed to crush numbers. They've been transitioning from more hardware to more software, which boasts higher margins. she expects double-digit revenue growth.