BroadcomAVGOTOP PICKFeb 11, 2020Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 08, 2026. Market Open.
AVGO is like the smaller cousin of NVDA. Built GOOG's AI program, increasingly making waves with Anthropic (owns Claude). Interesting, but not a shoot-the-lights-out opportunity. He'd buy.
MRVL is trying to take a share of the chips that go into GOOG, and is already involved with AMZN cloud. Be careful. It's not a given that it's a capable designer of cutting-edge chips. Coin flip. We've been fooled before.
NVDA is actually more interesting than both.
Macro fears of AI overspending, diminishing returns, circular financing, and bubble worries. Stock-specific fears of a highly competitive market, top 5 customers account for 40% of revenues, high debt levels from past acquisitions may impact future M&A.
Stunning rise since 2022. Unprecedented thirst for products. Acquisitions continue to be a growth driver. Big cashflow, very sustainable dividend. Seven analyst upgrades over last 30 days.
Trades at 23x PE 2027 earnings, growing at 34%.
They sell chips to cell phone-makers (Apply is a big customer) and infrastructure and data centres (cloud services rent these centres). Recently, they're selling infrastructure software after buying Symantec. That's a shift in strategy. They've grown cash flow in 5 years exponentially. Rumour is they'll sell their chip business to phone, which would make them a pure play on those data centres, which is a good strategy. Trades a good valuation, pays a 4% dividend and tons of free cash flow. (Analysts’ price target is $349.24)