Apollo Asset ManagementAPOBUYDec 06, 2023Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Sep 21, 2026. Market Open.
Bought more. Came down on both private credit and software vs. AI concerns. Very good underwriters. Stock's pretty cheap. Most stable of private credit platforms, with least software exposure. With capital markets as good as they are, and spreads as tight, that's usually good for companies that own a whole stack of credit.
She bought more. All private equity got over-punished. Has 80% of business in the credit market and 20% equities, so it's already lower-risk. Trades at 14x PE. Only 1% of its loans are exposed to software and that risk. Expects around 15% earnings growth. They are growing more assets. The selling has been extreme.
In alternative assets, has been pushing ahead in all the right areas -- retail, private credit -- well before competitors. Credit spreads have been so tight, has been left behind in risk-on market rally. Can optimize its big private equity portfolio in wide-open capital markets.
A cyclical, risk-on, financial services company you can have in your diversified portfolio. Yield is 1.40%.
He's owned this one for 10 years. Private equity has cooled off in the last little while, but that's just noise. The good businesses are growing dramatically. Added insurance, a huge growth business. US has just approved private equity in 401(k) accounts, a $13T market of which private equity is only 1% (but could rise to 5-7% over time).
The latest upgrade makese sense. There's a huge secular growth opportunity and these alternative managers expand into wealth management. Also, there's potential for cyclical growth--fundraising in private equity has beeen very slow this year, slow deal flows. But now, valuations in private equity have reset by 20%. This is attracting interest back in this space and bodes well for 2024.