Apollo Asset ManagementAPOBUYDec 06, 2023Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of May 29, 2026. Market Open.
She bought more. All private equity got over-punished. Has 80% of business in the credit market and 20% equities, so it's already lower-risk. Trades at 14x PE. Only 1% of its loans are exposed to software and that risk. Expects around 15% earnings growth. They are growing more assets. The selling has been extreme.
In alternative assets, has been pushing ahead in all the right areas -- retail, private credit -- well before competitors. Credit spreads have been so tight, has been left behind in risk-on market rally. Can optimize its big private equity portfolio in wide-open capital markets.
A cyclical, risk-on, financial services company you can have in your diversified portfolio. Yield is 1.40%.
He's owned this one for 10 years. Private equity has cooled off in the last little while, but that's just noise. The good businesses are growing dramatically. Added insurance, a huge growth business. US has just approved private equity in 401(k) accounts, a $13T market of which private equity is only 1% (but could rise to 5-7% over time).
The latest upgrade makese sense. There's a huge secular growth opportunity and these alternative managers expand into wealth management. Also, there's potential for cyclical growth--fundraising in private equity has beeen very slow this year, slow deal flows. But now, valuations in private equity have reset by 20%. This is attracting interest back in this space and bodes well for 2024.