Stock price when the opinion was issued
The caller was hoping for a 10% per year return and Amazon is growing earnings faster than 10% and revenue at least 10%. Tech stocks across the board have sold off and the P/E is now 31. Its valuation today is the same as Walmart which is over-priced. A couple of years ago it decide to relax its constant investment.
Frustrating, as stock's down mainly due to macro, not to the company itself. Beat on recent quarter. AWS is really growing from AI tailwinds. People may be concerned about level of AI spend at 35% of capex. Growing at 20% a year, trading at 20x 2027 PE.
This is where you'd want to buy if there wasn't all this macro noise. Things could get worse if the administration doesn't pull back. Good, long-term name at these levels. Buy here, forget about it for 10 years.
Is -28% from February's high. The fear is that tariffs will crush their core e-commerce business; most of their goods are made overseas which will get a lot more expensive. But they've become more of a consumer staples business like Walmart, and they have the scale to force the suppliers to eat the tariffs. They also have a sticky Prime business and AWS has enough to growth offset weakness in retail. Trades at 25x PE, half its historical average.
Has been wrong on this for about the last 10 years. As a value investor, it is hard for him to buy into a stock like this. He doesn’t chase growth. This stock barely makes any money, and yet it continues to go up from a valuation standpoint. He would rather wait for a better entry point.