Stock price when the opinion was issued
Likes to watch the semiconductors as an indicator for economic expectations. This group has led the rally over the last number of years, regularly checking back to the 200-week MA (as in March/April of this year). Rallied nicely since then. NVDA is obviously the leader and making new all-time highs. Semi index in the US has not made a new high, and that's a little something to think about especially when the market it. Its RSI has come off the deep low, so there's no issue in the short-term.
This name is performing very well. Semis are giving good messaging right now. He'd really love to see the semiconductor index make a new high, and that's the caveat. This one will pick up market share, but he'd prefer to be with the leader NVDA.
Good question. The answer is that it doesn't matter, because the market response is extraordinary for these things. Anybody's evaluation of it doesn't tell you why this stock should be up 25-30% in a day for such a large company.
So the analysis doesn't matter. He's more interested in the market response, which tells you about the speculative nature of the market we're now in. And it could last days, months, maybe years. AI is still very early, and everybody gets really excited about it.
His eggs are in the basket of NVDA and AVGO. Stock popped when OpenAI put in another $10M (NVDA had put $100M into OpenAI, and then OpenAI turned around and used $10M of that). He'd hold on.