Altagas LtdALA.TOPAST TOP PICKApr 07, 2015Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jul 31, 2026. Market Open.
Both benefit from AI centre demand. Pembina is building a 1.8 gigawatt natural gas plant in Alberta. Half of ALA's business is in the US, regulated utilities, in Virginia--the world capital of data centre traffic. ALA also has activity in Western Canada. ALA's growth rate is higher than Pembina. ALA gets the slight edge.
Way more to go. Great value, good growth, data centre growth, natural gas tailwinds linked to getting offshore. Trades at 18x PE, growing only 11%.
A bit overbought, and if you want to be a day trader you could sell a bit. By doing that, you often miss the story as it goes higher. If he were being cute, he might sell a call in this environment.
ALA gives you a mix of energy infrastructure (~45%) with regulated utilities (~55%). Utility component gives more stability, but lower dividend. He's not a huge fan of utilities unless they're tied to AI infrastructure buildout.
PPL is more pure-play pipeline infrastructure. Better dividend yield. Contracted cashflow gives you earnings and revenue visibility. This would be his preference.
Steady cashflow from nat gas distribution and energy infrastructure assets. Utility segment provides stability. Growth through exports and storage, but both parts of the business still move in step with natural gas. Trending upward. Value is 8/10, fundamentals 7/10. Expects upside of ~8-10%. Analysts are mixed between Buy and Outperform, with a few Hold and Underperform. She'd wait for a 5% pullback.
She owns and prefers BIP.UN, CPX and H. Despite some commodity exposure, its cashflows, balance sheet, and long-term contracts provide better visibility.
Has done well, bit of a pullback recently. Value: 8/10. Sees about 10-12% upside from here. Analysts are mixed between Outperform and Buy. Q3 saw EPS normalize, but revenue was mixed. Remains on-track for full-year guidance despite the slight miss. Debt's not well-covered by operating cashflow. Neutral from a short-term technical perspective.
Instead she owns ENB, H, and CES.
Likes oil & gas a lot. US has rebuilding of the strategic petroleum reserve, which should create a floor under the market. Narrative in the market is that oil and gas are oversupplied.
Stock's weakening of late, and he doesn't know the specifics as well as he should. But he likes the space. Looking at the chart, stock doesn't seem to have come off all that much.
(A Top Pick April 4/14. Down 2.34%.) This continues to be a core holding. Have a really defensive business model in a low commodity price environment. Only about 10% of their EBITDA is exposed directly to commodity prices. The other 90% is contracted or regulated assets. They have a number of catalysts that could come out this year that will be positive for the share price including a final investment decision on their LNG project in BC, more announcements on their LPG exports to Asia and their natural gas plant in California is looking at an expansion. Have been growing their dividend and she thinks there is still dividend growth to come. They have about $1.5 billion committed to capital growth in the next 3 years. A very good balanced diversified asset base, a 3rd in utilities, a 3rd in natural gas processing and a 3rd power generation. Long-term, good holds in a good quality company.