Alamos Gold IncAGI.TOPAST TOP PICKFeb 27, 2026Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 03, 2026. Market Open.
Has come off with the price of gold. This name, along with AEM, is the best-run gold company in Canada, if not in the world. Both continually replace mines with fresh, high-quality reserves.
Production forecasts are spectacular. Stepped back to just below his downside target of $54. He's waiting for it to grip here. You could buy 1/3 of a position today, then see what happens. (For stocks that have set back, he finds that you tend to do better buying in stages than buying all at once.) Yield is 0.41%.
AGI next reports Feb 18; in the Q3, EPS of 37c beat estimates of 36c; revenue of $462M missed estimates by 7%. EBITDA of $283.5M missed estimates by 7%. Of course, since then the price of gold has soared, and AGI has further earnings leverage. Last week it did release Q4 production numners, which did miss estimates. However, the miss was largely due to a seismic event and weather issues. We would not consider it too serious and the stock decline likely reflects the situation well. We think the stock is interesting and buyable at current levels and would consider a 'more conservative' play for the sector. The company remains debt-free with with more than $200M net cash.
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Great performer. Moved up from small cap to something bigger and more diversified. Still likes it, though there was some disappointment after release of Q1 results. Good portfolio of mines, pretty good organic growth profile. Recent acquisition will be synergistic. Mines are in jurisdictions where not at risk of having rug ripped out from under.
Consolidating due to recent gains, and gold hasn't broken out to new highs (though on the doorstep). Good time to add. Feeling pretty good about upcoming Q2 numbers, as a lot of cost pressures were just issues of timing and should reverse. In the long run, aspiring to be an emerging AEM, either organically or via merger.
This name continues to work, entire space has been on fire. The kind of chart you want to see. For precious metals, we're approaching negative seasonality (July-October). Will probably see a pullback over next couple of months. If you own, set some risk-control levels. If you want to add, go ahead now but keep some powder dry for later.
Now a $14B market cap, an emerging large-cap company. Likes last year's acquisition of Argonaut. Great organic growth profile of 12% annual compound growth rate in production -- no mid- or large-cap can match that. Negligible geopolitical risk of Canada and Mexico. Yield is 0.4%.
(Analysts’ price target is $39.50)
In both his momentum and dividend growers mandates. Gold price was rocket fuel to earnings and cashflows. Still a fairly undemanding valuation based on prolific FCF.