Samsung Electronics005930.KSCOMMENTFeb 02, 2017Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Aug 30, 2024. Market Open.
Hard to know what 2024 landscape will look like in the western world. Hard times already felt in China and Asia, so this is a bit of a bet on Asia-Pacific. Mammoth company. Largest DRAM (memory) chip maker. Second to TSM as a foundry, 59% share vs. 13%. Samsung wants to double its share in 5 years. Great report. Yield is 2%.
No ADR. Trades on the London Stock Exchange. Buy in thirds at $1360, $1300, and $1200.
They’ve had a number of negative things, such as exploding phones and a corruption probe. When looking at the financials, you see a big line item that comes from semiconductors, which is one of their big drivers. Ultimately though, that is a supplier to the phones, smart devices and a lot of other related paraphernalia. If there is a slowdown in the phone segment, then you definitely get a slowdown in semiconductors and their ability to use the semiconductor division to derive additional revenues through third-party relationships. It has been a fabulous stock, but at this point it is too rich.
They dealt with their exploding battery situation very well. Did a very big recall and a big write down, because they recognized that the risk to their reputation was too high. She likes this as it is no longer a cyclical business. A few years ago, this was basically smart phones or D-RAM memory. Today they are much more diversified. Also, corporate governance has improved. Dividend yield of 1.6%. (Analysts’ price target is 2,800,000 KRW.)
They were a very secretive big conglomerate in Korea. Now, the son has taken over the leadership and it has become very different. Much more open and focused on return of capital. This used to be and still is mostly about their phones. Mobile devices are just over 50% of revenue, and they make the chips. The way they dealt with their Note7 problems was very impressive. They announced a global recall, no questions asked and gave you a little bit of a bonus back. They have already taken a $5-$6 billion of a write down, and there is probably a little more to come. They’ve also discontinued the line. This company generates cash flow. About 27% of their market cap is cash. Last year they generated roughly 5 trillion Won of cash flow, roughly $28 billion Canadian. They are spending just under 40% of it on a buyback this year. It is probably not going to grow that fast anymore, but now the D-RAM is growing very quickly because their competitors love their components. Very inexpensive. Pays a relatively attractive dividend for an Asian stock.