COMMENT
Aurora Cannabis
He is not an expert in cannabis. There will be real industry going forward and some companies will prosper in the long term. The valuations still remain excessive. If he were to participate it would be with Canopy Growth as they have a connection with Constellation Brands in the US.
0
COMMENT
He is not an expert in cannabis. There will be real industry going forward and some companies will prosper in the long term. The valuations still remain excessive. If he were to participate it would be with Canopy Growth as they have a connection with Constellation Brands in the US.
E.T.F.'s
COMMENT
He is not an expert in cannabis. There will be real industry going forward and some companies will prosper in the long term. The valuations still remain excessive. If he were to participate it would be with Canopy Growth as they have a connection with Constellation Brands in the US.
agriculture
DON'T BUY
His longer term concern is that as a royalty, their cash flow will be declining with reduced exploration. Until there is better clarification on pipeline issues, he is luke-warm on the Canadian energy sector. He believes the monthly dividend is fairly secure, but worries about it longer term. Yield 7.9%
Financial Services
DON'T BUY
Shopify Inc.
This is a wonderful company, but the valuation has always been to high for him to buy. The price has fallen as the company announced an offering as the market questioned the needs for the funds. He would suggest taking some tax-loss selling and re-position next year.
0
BUY
Visa Inc.
Visa vs Mastercard? He has held both for many years. At current values, Visa is a great value trading at 20 times earnings -- as cheap as he has seen in a while. He is surprised Visa is trading at a discount to Mastercard -- not typically the case. Long term growth of e-trade is expanding worldwide and there is a long runway for both. He would buy it here. (Analysts’ price target is $162.00)
other services
COMMENT
Dollar Cost Averaging He has been guilty of this -- sometimes it works out. If the outlook has not changed and you believe in the business model it can be a good strategy. It is tricky to find a true bottom in price. If something gets under-weighted in your portfolio it also makes sense.
Unknown
STRONG BUY
This is a great entry point. A play on the US single-family real estate market. They earn profits on their own property and management fees on the properties they manage. It trades at under 10 times earnings and pays a US dollar dividend.
REAL ESTATE
TOP PICK
Any bids they received on assets for sale were rejected this week by the company. They felt the market was not showing strong enough bids -- primarily with oil prices trading a depressed levels currently. The company is undertaking a bid for 10% of their float of stock, which is nicely impacting the share price. Trading at less than 2.7 times next year's cash flow, which is also growing by 20%. Their production is priced on Brent oil prices. A table pounding buy. Yield 0% (Analysts’ price target is $29.11)
oil / gas
TOP PICK
Greensky Inc.
A fin-tech company that had its IPO in May. It has traded as a dog since then. Their recent earnings guidance was a bit below analyst estimates, which has hurt the share price. It has collapsed to 13 times earnings. The company has developed a portal where customers can apply for loans instantly for home repairs from several vendors -- including major banks. They have expanded their offerings into loans for elective surgery. The company continues to expect 20% earnings growth. He has averaged down on his holdings. He sees the next earnings report on February 5 being key. Yield 0%. (Analysts’ price target is $11.61)
Financial Services
TOP PICK
A long term holding for him. The stock price is almost half of its high. The National Bank released a report recently that highlighted how they will do in a slowing economy and with other concerns in a favourable light. The company is trading at 6.3 times earnings versus historical average of 9 times. A steady grower with a 2.5 year backlog in orders. Yield 4.7%. (Analysts’ price target is $54.14)
Automotive
COMMENT
Technical analysis on equity markets. You can follow his blog at valuetrend.ca. 2540 on the S&P 500 was a reasonably significant support level. Don't want to see it broken because it represents the lows of the year. It broke yesterday, and fell more today. So we've broken significant support. He uses the rule of 3 -- he doesn't make a move until 3 days, which has prevented him from buying back in. If Monday is down, after that if we don't start basing, then the market's in trouble. If it doesn't stop falling later next week, he's going to have to start selling out. We are oversold, and we could get a rebound to the old support level. But if we don't crack above 2540, we could be in a new bear market. The 200-day moving average broke some time ago, and we're getting lower lows. He has about 13% cash now, and will start raising more in the next few weeks.
Unknown
DON'T BUY
Altagas Ltd
Time to buy? You can't find a good chart these days. But the longer term trend was bearish to begin with, and now with the recent waterfall, it's gone down. Market's oversold, and you could get a bounce, but that's all he'd look for. He starts with technicals, so he wouldn't even be looking at this stock.
oil / gas
COMMENT
How do you decide whether to keep holding a stock? You can trade in this environment. You have to switch gears. Let's assume it's a bear market, you have to look at ways to peel the stocks you're less long-term bullish on, and you can trade the swings. Or you grin and bear it and hold out. You can use momentum indicators to spot overbought and oversold opportunities.
Unknown
SELL ON STRENGTH
Was in an uptrend, he forgave the pullback. A lot of stocks have broken, not unique to CIBC. Switch directions, look for the old support level, and look to get out. He's going to get out on a bit of a rebound.
banks