TOP PICK
Enbridge
Very solid. Wonderful Management team. Oil pipelines is where the game is. A defensive name.
oil / gas pipelines
TOP PICK
Imperial Oil
Kearl oil sands project has been sanctioned. In a market that’s very choppy and volatile you want quality.
integrated oils
TOP PICK
Talisman Mining Ltd
Not often you can get a senior producer trading at a discount where there is a real inflection point occurring. Have coalesced around unconventional gas in North America. Going to develop the Montney. Showing huge reserve upside in Southeast Asia.
oil / gas
PAST TOP PICK
Opti Canada Inc.
(A Top Pick June 16/08. Down 89.57%.) Had expected oil to stay north of $100. Got caught up in the financial disaster. Continuing to bring on production at Long Lake.
integrated oils
PAST TOP PICK
TriStar Oil & Gas
(A Top Pick June 16/08. Down 47.36%.) Oil Weighted and in the Bakkens. Still a Hold.
oil / gas
PAST TOP PICK
Suncor Energy Inc
(A Top Pick June 16/08. Down 46.93%.) With the merger with PetroCan (PCA-T) Will be a very dominant refining arm. Oil sands is where it’s at in terms of oil.
integrated oils
BUY
Raised around $174 million and that helps bridge the gap. Bringing on a 2nd phase of production of their oil sands project at 10,000 barrels a day. Think they will survive but is still a difficult slog for them because cash is going to be tight. Need significantly higher sustained oil prices to make a go of it. Speculative buy.
oil / gas
WEAK BUY
Nexen Inc
This is a Buy but there are better names in this space. (See his Top Picks.) Rumoured to be the next take-out candidate. Production has been a bit spotty but is improving. Long Lake has been a very poor reservoir thus far.
oil / gas
DON'T BUY
Delphi Energy Corp.
This is a name that possibly gets acquired. Gas prices are down substantially over time. It is really a race to see who can survive. Decent little name with some good fields but doesn't see a catalyst to the upside.
oil / gas
HOLD
Paramount Resources
More of a conventional gas producer. Recently heavy debt load but not extraordinary. Can't see any upside case to be made for this right now. See gas price recovery at least 6 months away and maybe a year.
oil / gas
BUY
TC Energy
Quasi-infrastructure play. Bringing Alaskan gas down. Will be around for a long time. Very strong track record of dividends. Excellent growth. One of the largest producers of power with its stake in both Bruce and it's US assets. Expects power prices will be a little weaker over the next 6 months. Almost 5% dividend.
oil / gas pipelines
COMMENT
Oil and Base Metals: Looking for a pullback in the order of 10%, maybe 15%. Currently he favours defensive stocks or senior producers.
Unknown
DON'T BUY
UTS Energy
Very much and open question. Not overly bullish. Rejected Total’s offer. With Fort Hills being decided by Suncor (SU-T) and PetroCan (PCA-T) he thinks this is on hold. Costs on this project are very expensive. Expects stock will go absolutely nowhere for the next year.
oil / gas
BUY
Altagas Ltd
Their business is pretty diversified. They are making a spread between the price of oil and the price of gas. A stable business. Thinks the distribution is safe.
oil / gas
BUY
Inter Pipeline
Have a fair number of tax pools so they can push off paying taxes for a few years after 2011. You should have a reasonable percentage of your portfolio in defensive names. 9.8% yield.
oil pipelines