Latest Stock Buy or Sell? Make More Informed Decisions!
Today, Brian Madden and Stockchase Insights commented about whether DAL-N, PKI-T, RMD-N, COST-Q, JPM-N, TOU-T, CCO-T, NXE-T, T-T, RCI.B-T, NTR-T, NSRGY-OTC, WM-N, WCN-T, LII-N, AVGO-Q, BBD.B-T, CP-T, CNR-T, GOOG-Q, PEP-Q, CASY-Q, TD-T, BN-T are stocks to buy or sell.
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Bumpy. Q2 is a crucial selling season for them, and supply/demand dynamics in potash will be key. Reintroduced it to portfolios in January this year. Fertilizer cycle has bottomed and is slowly turning up. Vertically integrated with downstream farm supply stores. Operational improvement in South America to improve margins.
Trading at half of peak value of 3 years ago. Lots of upside.
His firm owns 3 in their dividend-growers mandate. Canadian banks are a cornerstone of a growth and income portfolio. Secular outperformers of the TSX. Dividends typically grow 6-8% a year on an average 3-3.5% dividend yield. Over a cycle, this gives you good line of sight to low-double-digit total shareholder return; the oligopoly of the 6 makes this sustainable. Stable, well managed, well governed, diversified.
Will pull all sorts of levers to overcome economic headwinds. He expects high single-digit earnings growth this year, notwithstanding the housing market.
Maybe tide is turning on competitive intensity in telecom sector, but not overwhelmingly obvious that's so. MLSE provides interesting optionality; hard to value sports franchises, but they are rather like collectibles such as race horses or art. In the meantime, he's taking the more conservative approach and focusing on dividend growth.
His preference is Telus.
Sitting on world's largest undeveloped deposit of uranium. Will get developed, but not producing, so doesn't fit his firm's risk appetite. Likes uranium, the world needs more, and Canada has lots. The world particularly likes uranium from geopolitically stable countries; much comes from Russia and Kazakhstan, which aren't poster children for geopolitical stability.
He owns CCO shares instead.
Despite the name, Canada's largest natural gas producer at ~13% of the total. Likes its capital discipline and lean operating efficiency. 21% stake in TPZ. Early mover to secure market access to delivery hubs on US and Canadian West Coasts. Consistently able to get higher pricing than peers. Generates lots of cash.
Cargo shipping from LNG Canada (as soon as this weekend) will benefit the whole sector. Kitimat project has potential to meaningfully shift supply/demand balance of Western Canadian nat gas, due to Asian demand. Yield is 3.10%, and there are special dividends too.
A new purchase (June) for the portfolio. Global scale. Quite possibly the best bank in the world. Its smaller wealth management business is a focus for growth. Increasingly, scale matters in banking; secular shift away from regional banks.
Abundant organic growth opportunities, so it pays out a modest 25% of earnings in dividends. Outperforms the Canadian big 6, a rare feat. Robust earnings and dividend growth, compounding ~13% over the last decade. Yield is 1.99%.
Growth is driven by steady cadence of new-store expansion. Good traffic. About 9% compounded rate of sales growth over the last decade. Earnings have grown ~13%. Always looks expensive compared to peers, but that reflects its enduring, sustainable competitive advantage. Any day that ends in "y" is a good day to buy. Yield is 0.52%.
(Analysts’ price target is $1080.45)RMD has been showing positive momentum recently, it is nearing in on its all-time highs, and forward margin expansion is expected to be quite positive. Analyst estimates are trending higher, its margins have been growing, and it generats strong free cash flow, which is partly used for dividends, buybacks, and growing the balance sheet. It is trading at a reasonable valuation of 25X forward earnings, and it has structural tailwinds. We would be comfortable buying the name here today for a long-term hold.
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For now, we would HOLD but we think it may have reduced upside in the mid-term as the companies integrate. Depending on the reaction to the stock this week and in the next few weeks, we can see it as a source of cash for other ideas as they emerge.
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Airlines are always tough investments. Valuation is certainly cheap. EPS is expected to dip this year and then rise 20% in 2026. However this assumes no recession or other issues. The Q1 was decent and 19% ahead of estimates. The dividend was recently increased 25% (for the Q3). If we see Middle East peace and lower oil prices the stock may start acting better. As a 'value' stock we think it is OK. It has the usual sector and market risks, and we would not see it as a huge secular growth name. But......under the right conditions we could see an 11X mutliple or more, and this would be a good gain if it occurred. But note it's current multiple is not really out of line by historical standards.
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The Benefits of Long Term Investing: Lower costs and taxes
Long-term investors make fewer transactions, which means lower brokerage fees, bid/ask slippage and commissions. For U.S. investors, long term gains are taxed more favourably than short-term gains (not an issue for Canadian investors). Frequent buying and selling in day trading can result in substantial costs that erode profits. But it is the taxes that hurt the most. If you have a successful day trade, that’s great. But if you are in a 50 per cent tax bracket, because of capital gains taxes, you now have about 25 per ent less capital deployed in the market than a long-term investor. This reduced level of capital is a giant disadvantage to traders. Long term investors simply compound their capital and pay no taxes (other than on dividends) until their position is sold.
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