Latest Expert Opinions

Signal
Opinion
Expert
COMMENT
COMMENT
May 15, 2020

ARX vs VET ARX holds super high quality liquids assets in the Montney formation. VET has a more diversified production slate including Australia and the Netherlands as well as Canada. The US has shut in 1.4 million barrels a day, this has reduced associated natural gas production. This will tighten the natural gas markets making it much more bullish. This is helpful for ARX, more so. He has not been a huge supporter of the VET management team and is less bullish on European natural gas markets (where VET is more active). ARX also provides a better dividend stream.

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ARX vs VET ARX holds super high quality liquids assets in the Montney formation. VET has a more diversified production slate including Australia and the Netherlands as well as Canada. The US has shut in 1.4 million barrels a day, this has reduced associated natural gas production. This will tighten the natural gas markets making it much more bullish. This is helpful for ARX, more so. He has not been a huge supporter of the VET management team and is less bullish on European natural gas markets (where VET is more active). ARX also provides a better dividend stream.

COMMENT
COMMENT
May 15, 2020

ARX vs VET ARX holds super high quality liquids assets in the Montney formation. VET has a more diversified production slate including Australia and the Netherlands as well as Canada. The US has shut in 1.4 million barrels a day, this has reduced associated natural gas production. This will tighten the natural gas markets making it much more bullish. This is helpful for ARX, more so. He has not been a huge supporter of the VET management team and is less bullish on European natural gas markets (where VET is more active). ARX also provides a better dividend stream.

Show full opinionHide full opinion

ARX vs VET ARX holds super high quality liquids assets in the Montney formation. VET has a more diversified production slate including Australia and the Netherlands as well as Canada. The US has shut in 1.4 million barrels a day, this has reduced associated natural gas production. This will tighten the natural gas markets making it much more bullish. This is helpful for ARX, more so. He has not been a huge supporter of the VET management team and is less bullish on European natural gas markets (where VET is more active). ARX also provides a better dividend stream.

BUY
BUY
May 15, 2020
A high quality way to play a bullish oil play. Q2 earnings are going to be bad, but it depends on what the balance of the year and 2021 holds. They have a modest decline rate, which reduces the capex required. He thinks the dividend is sustainable around $35 oil prices. He was buying it yesterday. Yield 9.5%
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A high quality way to play a bullish oil play. Q2 earnings are going to be bad, but it depends on what the balance of the year and 2021 holds. They have a modest decline rate, which reduces the capex required. He thinks the dividend is sustainable around $35 oil prices. He was buying it yesterday. Yield 9.5%
HOLD
HOLD
May 15, 2020

Trading volumes? The lower the share price, you have to trade more for a given trading position size. He thinks this will be a $4 stock down the road. Volatility in oil prices has caused investors to digest the market developments. He thinks oil prices will consolidate around here for a while. He likes management and the asset quality. They are immunized against weak cash flow. Well results in the last quarter were awesome, telling him the Cenovus assets they acquired are now validated.

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Trading volumes? The lower the share price, you have to trade more for a given trading position size. He thinks this will be a $4 stock down the road. Volatility in oil prices has caused investors to digest the market developments. He thinks oil prices will consolidate around here for a while. He likes management and the asset quality. They are immunized against weak cash flow. Well results in the last quarter were awesome, telling him the Cenovus assets they acquired are now validated.

COMMENT
COMMENT
May 15, 2020

Gas vs oil? As there is less oil production, associated natural gas production is falling. He owns BIR and was buying yesterday. AAV has performed well relative to other gas producers. He took profits on AAV recently and moved it into oil producers. BIR is trading at 2 times EV, but cuts its dividend by 81% recently. BIR is more cavalier on its spending, but feels it has more upside.

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Gas vs oil? As there is less oil production, associated natural gas production is falling. He owns BIR and was buying yesterday. AAV has performed well relative to other gas producers. He took profits on AAV recently and moved it into oil producers. BIR is trading at 2 times EV, but cuts its dividend by 81% recently. BIR is more cavalier on its spending, but feels it has more upside.

COMMENT
COMMENT
May 15, 2020

Gas vs oil? As there is less oil production, associated natural gas production is falling. He owns BIR and was buying yesterday. AAV has performed well relative to other gas producers. He took profits on AAV recently and moved it into oil producers. BIR is trading at 2 times EV, but cuts its dividend by 81% recently. BIR is more cavalier on its spending, but feels it has more upside.

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Gas vs oil? As there is less oil production, associated natural gas production is falling. He owns BIR and was buying yesterday. AAV has performed well relative to other gas producers. He took profits on AAV recently and moved it into oil producers. BIR is trading at 2 times EV, but cuts its dividend by 81% recently. BIR is more cavalier on its spending, but feels it has more upside.

BUY
BUY
May 15, 2020
At single digit oil, bankruptcies were a worry. He thinks we are no longer at that level. Unless a second dramatic wave of COVID occurs, demand for oil should continue to improve. VII gives exposure to natural gas, but they are also the largest condensate producer in Canada. He believes condensate price weakness is going away as the heavy oil differential has shrunk to only $4 per barrel. This is a sign the demand for Canadian heavy oil is strong. The company has brought down its corporate decline rate. This could triple or quadruple in value, he thinks.
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At single digit oil, bankruptcies were a worry. He thinks we are no longer at that level. Unless a second dramatic wave of COVID occurs, demand for oil should continue to improve. VII gives exposure to natural gas, but they are also the largest condensate producer in Canada. He believes condensate price weakness is going away as the heavy oil differential has shrunk to only $4 per barrel. This is a sign the demand for Canadian heavy oil is strong. The company has brought down its corporate decline rate. This could triple or quadruple in value, he thinks.