Daily Stock Opinions and Ratings

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Today, Brooke Thackray and Richard Croft commented about whether CM-T, PIC.PR.A-T, BCE-T, HMMJ-T, IHI-N, SHOP-T, TLT-Q, XIU-T, XGD-T, ZWU-T, MTUM-N, NFLX-Q, AAPL-Q, ZID-T, ZWC-T, ZCN-T, ZPR-T, CVS-N, ITE-N, HCRE-T, XLV-N, RSI-T, ABX-T, IPAY-N, CAS-T, ATRL-T, RDS.B-N, ECA-T, XLE-N, XLB-T, XLP-N, TCL.B-T, GOOG-Q, CPG-T, TECK.B-T, DWDP-N, UNG-N, STE-T, MG-T are stocks to buy or sell.

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Canadian Banks. They are an interesting play because they are in everyone's portfolios. They have not really done very well. They have petered out. They are not in their seasonal period. They are probably not the best place to be. If it break down there is further weakness.

DON'T BUY

Forestry Stocks. Seasonality is the same as home builders and banks. They broke down to a key level and then broke that recently. It has fallen off sharply. This is not a sector to get into.

DON'T BUY

It is doing a stair-step action down. You have to be careful with stocks like this. It could be a value trap. He would not recommend it.

DON'T BUY

You should have done well but didn't. It has continued its trend down. There is nothing in the chart. Seasonally it is not time to buy it. He would not get into it.

DON'T BUY

Mobile Payments. It's hard to have seasonality because of the limited history. It will probably correlate to the retail sector. It has been straight up and then corrected. It has arched over as it has come to the top. We may see it flatten and then start to go down.

WAIT

You want to have a good gold price for it to do well. We saw a decline in 2017. We saw it falter at the beginning of this year. Seasonality will start July/August.

DON'T BUY

Good dividend. It is a mature company. They went into maple syrup recently. Watch out as they try to transition to syrup. If it breaks down below $5.75 it could be an indication we could see further weakness.

TOP PICK

It is defensive with a seasonal period from May first to the beginning of August. Investors get attracted to this sector at this time of the year because it is defensive. It has started to outperform the market. It is less exposed to the China/US trade deal. It is not a bad place to be. It is a place to hide out in.

TOP PICK

REITs are in a good time right now. Rates are pausing or perhaps heading down but the economy has not fallen apart and this is when the REITs do well. It is a hiding place.

TOP PICK

A medium term bond defensive play. 3-10 years on US bonds. This is when bonds tend to do well. Investors tend to exit the market on 'Sell in May'. You are looking to make some income over the next few months.

COMMENT

Trump has strong support across the board in America; China doesn't play by the rules. He doesn't agree with Trump's style of negotiation, but at least he is calling China on that issue. The markets are spooked by an America-China trade deal not happening tomorrow. No question: tariffs will hit both sides, though there's almost no inflation. We have the lowest unemployment since 1969, which is remarkable, yet we have no inflation--and this confuses central bankers around the world. How? We don't know. This is the most important long-term factor on markets. China has a 6% growth rate, but productivity has been falling for 15 years, yet also has little inflation. Meanwhile, the US is running a high deficit and some day it'll have to be paid back. Down the road, a dramatic melt-up could happen.

COMMENT

Buy a call at $54 in January 17, 2020 or Jan. 15, 2021 at $55? Is the latter better for the extra year? And add a put to offset the cost? They've had a good run, though it has staggered a bit recently. To buy a two years out is more like a warrant. You'll pay more for the one in 2021. This depends on your timeline--how long do you think CVS will return to its previous level. Either call is fine. Selling a put: If you sold at $55, you'd collect some premium and that would help pay for it. But if you do, all you're doing is creating a synthetic long position, and the same as owning CVS stock.

COMMENT

Many people are looking for income. This pays a 6% yield. (See his top picks later.)

BUY

This is close to the TSX 60 ETFs, like XIU. This is an index play on Canada. Buy and hold it. A great core holding.

BUY

It's an income product, so don't worry about the stock price. The covered calls add a bit more distributions to the dividend. Is it enough for you? This is a bond proxy, really.

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